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We Think China Lilang's (HKG:1234) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

We Think China Lilang's (HKG:1234) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

我们认为中国利郎(HKG: 1234)的健康收益可能是保守的
Simply Wall St ·  03/25 18:27

Investors signalled that they were pleased with China Lilang Limited's (HKG:1234) most recent earnings report. This reaction by the market reaction is understandable when looking at headline profits and we have found some further encouraging factors.

投资者表示,他们对中国利郎有限公司(HKG: 1234)的最新收益报告感到满意。从总体利润来看,市场反应的这种反应是可以理解的,我们发现了一些进一步的令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1234 Earnings and Revenue History March 25th 2024
SEHK: 1234 2024 年 3 月 25 日的收益和收入历史记录

Examining Cashflow Against China Lilang's Earnings

根据中国利郎的收益研究现金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但是如果应计比率为正,则被认为是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

China Lilang has an accrual ratio of -0.12 for the year to December 2023. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥967m, well over the CN¥530.4m it reported in profit. China Lilang shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

截至2023年12月的一年中,中国利郎的应计比率为-0.12。因此,其法定收入远远低于其自由现金流。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为9.67亿元人民币,远远超过其公布的利润5.304亿元人民币。毫无疑问,中国利郎股东对过去十二个月自由现金流的改善感到高兴。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On China Lilang's Profit Performance

我们对中国利郎盈利表现的看法

China Lilang's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think China Lilang's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share increased by 18% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into China Lilang, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for China Lilang and we think they deserve your attention.

如上所述,中国利郎的应计比率稳健,表明自由现金流强劲。正因为如此,我们认为中国利郎的盈利潜力至少和看起来一样好,甚至可能更好!最重要的是,其每股收益在去年增长了18%。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。如果你想更深入地了解中国利郎,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。在Simply Wall St,我们发现了中国利郎的1个警告标志,我们认为它们值得你关注。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of China Lilang's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

这份报告只研究了揭示中国利郎利润性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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