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Ready For A Bull Run? Analyst Says 'Virtuous Investment Cycle' To Propel Stock Market To Record Profits

Ready For A Bull Run? Analyst Says 'Virtuous Investment Cycle' To Propel Stock Market To Record Profits

准备好迎接牛市了吗?分析师表示 “良性投资周期” 将推动股市创纪录的利润
Benzinga ·  03/12 21:42

The stock market is on the verge of a "virtuous investment cycle" that could drive corporate profits to new heights, according to a recent note from Bank of America.

根据美国银行最近的一份报告,股市正处于 “良性投资周期” 的边缘,这可能会将企业利润推向新的高度。

What Happened: Bank of America's strategist Savita Subramanian has suggested that the stock market is about to experience a significant upturn, driven by corporate investments in artificial intelligence (AI). This surge in spending is expected to boost S&P 500 earnings per share, reported Business Insider on Tuesday.

发生了什么:美国银行的策略师萨维塔·苏布拉曼尼安表示,在企业对人工智能(AI)的投资的推动下,股市即将经历大幅回升。据《商业内幕》周二报道,支出的激增预计将提高标准普尔500指数的每股收益。

Subramanian has revised her 2024 S&P 500 earnings estimate to $250 per share, up from $235. This would represent a 12% year-over-year increase in corporate profits. For 2025, she has forecasted an S&P 500 earnings per share of $275, indicating a 10% year-over-year growth from her 2024 projection.

Subramanian已将2024年标准普尔500指数的每股收益预期从235美元上调至250美元。这将意味着企业利润同比增长12%。她预测2025年的标准普尔500指数每股收益为275美元,这表明与2024年的预测相比,同比增长10%。

"We see a potential virtuous cycle forming from AI investments. Semis and networking are the most obvious beneficiaries, but increased power usage and the physical build-out of data centers will lead to more demand for electrification, utilities, commodities, etc," Subramanian said.

“我们看到人工智能投资会形成潜在的良性循环。半导体和网络是最明显的受益者,但是用电量的增加和数据中心的物理建设将带来对电气化、公用事业、大宗商品等的更多需求,” 苏布拉曼尼安说。

The recent stock market rally has been largely driven by better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings. Subramanian believes that this trend will continue as AI technologies become more widely adopted, leading to record profits.

最近的股市上涨主要是由好于预期的第四季度收益推动的。Subramanian认为,随着人工智能技术的广泛采用,这种趋势将继续下去,从而带来创纪录的利润。

She pointed out that the initial investments are being made by mega-cap hyperscalers such as Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG), and Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META). These companies are expected to collectively spend $180 billion on capital expenditures this year, a 27% year-over-year increase.

她指出,初始投资是由微软公司(纳斯达克股票代码:MSFT)、亚马逊公司(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)、Alphabet Inc(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOG)(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOG)和Meta Platforms Inc(纳斯达克股票代码:META)等大型超大规模企业进行的。预计这些公司今年总共将在资本支出上花费1800亿美元,同比增长27%。

Subramanian stated, "The $38B YoY increase in capex of represents ~80% of their expected earnings growth YoY – i.e., they're entering a reinvestment cycle."

Subramanian表示:“资本支出同比增长的380亿美元约占其预期收益增长的80%,即他们正在进入再投资周期。”

Why It Matters: Despite ongoing concerns about an AI bubble burst, the Magnificent Seven tech stocks are still considered to be undervalued compared to the wider stock market, according to JPMorgan.

为何重要:摩根大通称,尽管人们一直担心人工智能泡沫的破裂,但与整个股市相比,科技七巨头股仍被认为被低估。

However, the era of the Magnificent Seven's dominance in the stock market may be coming to an end, according to an analyst who popularized the label. The fortunes of these stocks have diverged this year, with their collective dominance over the stock market waning.

但是,一位推广该标签的分析师表示,壮丽七人组在股市占据主导地位的时代可能即将结束。这些股票今年的命运出现了分歧,它们在股市中的集体主导地位减弱。

Goldman Sachs has also raised concerns about the increasing concentration of the U.S. stock market and the dominant influence of its largest tech stocks, advising investors to adopt a "barbell approach" to diversify their portfolios.

高盛还对美国股市日益集中及其最大科技股的主导影响力表示担忧,建议投资者采取 “杠铃法” 来分散投资组合。

Despite these concerns, some market experts believe that the Magnificent Seven stocks are not in a bubble, citing data points that illustrate the current state of the market.

尽管有这些担忧,但一些市场专家认为,科技七巨头股票并未陷入泡沫,他们援引的数据点说明了市场现状。

Image Via Shutterstock

图片来自 Shutterstock

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