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Here's Why Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group (SZSE:000623) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group (SZSE:000623) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

这就是吉林奥东药业集团(SZSE: 000623)可以负责任地管理债务的原因
Simply Wall St ·  03/12 18:05

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000623) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,吉林奥东药业集团有限公司(SZSE: 000623)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或使用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代了具有高回报率再投资能力的公司的稀释时。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group's Net Debt?

吉林奥东药业集团的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group had CN¥3.16b of debt, an increase on CN¥2.95b, over one year. But it also has CN¥3.62b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥458.9m net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,吉林奥东制药集团在一年内有31.6亿元人民币的债务,比29.5亿元人民币的债务有所增加。但它也有36.2亿元的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它有4.589亿元的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000623 Debt to Equity History March 12th 2024
SZSE: 000623 2024 年 3 月 12 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group's Liabilities

看看吉林澳东药业集团的负债

The latest balance sheet data shows that Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group had liabilities of CN¥4.52b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥308.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.62b in cash and CN¥1.57b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥361.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,吉林奥东药业集团的负债为45.2亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为3.085亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有36.2亿加元的现金和15.7亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出3.619亿元人民币 负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种短期流动性表明,吉林奥东药业集团可能会轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远未捉襟见肘。简而言之,吉林奥东药业集团的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

While Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

尽管吉林奥东药业集团在息税前利润方面似乎没有太大收益,但至少目前收益保持稳定。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定吉林奥东药业集团能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last two years, Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管吉林奥东制药集团的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的两年中,吉林奥东药业集团的自由现金流总额为负数。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group has net cash of CN¥458.9m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group .

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,吉林奥东药业集团的净现金为4.589亿元人民币,流动资产也多于负债。因此,我们对吉林奥东药业集团使用债务没有任何问题。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,你应该注意我们在吉林奥东药业集团发现的两个警告信号。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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