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Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Gongniu Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603195) Stock?

Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Gongniu Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603195) Stock?

强劲的财务状况是否推动了工牛集团有限公司最近的涨势?”s (SHSE: 603195) 股票?
Simply Wall St ·  03/06 17:11

Gongniu Group's (SHSE:603195) stock is up by a considerable 11% over the past three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. In this article, we decided to focus on Gongniu Group's ROE.

工牛集团(上海证券交易所代码:603195)的股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了11%。鉴于从长远来看,市场会奖励强劲的财务状况,我们想知道在这种情况下是否如此。在本文中,我们决定重点关注工牛集团的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gongniu Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,工牛集团的投资回报率为:

27% = CN¥3.6b ÷ CN¥13b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

27% = 36亿元人民币 ¥13亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.27 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。对此进行概念化的一种方法是,该公司每拥有1元人民币的股本即可获得0.27元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Gongniu Group's Earnings Growth And 27% ROE

工牛集团的收益增长和27%的投资回报率

Firstly, we acknowledge that Gongniu Group has a significantly high ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 7.1% the company's ROE is quite impressive. Probably as a result of this, Gongniu Group was able to see a decent net income growth of 14% over the last five years.

首先,我们承认工牛集团的投资回报率非常高。其次,即使与7.1%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率也相当可观。可能是由于这个原因,工牛集团在过去五年中得以实现14%的不错的净收入增长。

Next, on comparing Gongniu Group's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 14% over the last few years.

接下来,在将工牛集团的净收入增长与该行业进行比较时,我们发现该公司报告的增长与过去几年14%的行业平均增长率相似。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603195 Past Earnings Growth March 6th 2024
SHSE: 603195 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 6 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Gongniu Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。与其他公司相比,公牛集团的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Gongniu Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Gongniu Group 是否有效地将利润再投资?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 51% (or a retention ratio of 49%) for Gongniu Group suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of its income to its shareholders.

公牛集团三年来最高的派息率中位数为51%(或49%的留存率),这表明尽管该公司将大部分收入返还给了股东,但其增长并没有真正受到阻碍。

Additionally, Gongniu Group has paid dividends over a period of four years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 62% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Gongniu Group's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 26% for future ROE.

此外,Gongniu集团已在四年内派发了股息,这意味着该公司非常认真地与股东分享利润。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司预计将在未来三年内继续支付约62%的利润。因此,预计工牛集团的投资回报率也不会有太大变化,我们从分析师对未来投资回报率为26%的估计中推断了这一点。

Summary

摘要

In total, we are pretty happy with Gongniu Group's performance. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们对工牛集团的表现非常满意。特别是,其高投资回报率非常值得注意,也是其可观收益增长背后的可能解释。但是,该公司保留了其利润的一小部分。这意味着尽管如此,该公司还是能够增加收益,所以这还不错。我们还研究了最新的分析师预测,发现该公司的收益增长预计与其当前的增长率相似。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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