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Is Tangrenshen Group (SZSE:002567) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Tangrenshen Group (SZSE:002567) Using Too Much Debt?

唐人神集团(深圳证券交易所:002567)是否使用过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  03/05 20:12

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Tangrenshen Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:002567) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,唐人神集团有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002567)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么债务就会任由他们摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然很痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Tangrenshen Group's Debt?

唐人神集团的债务是什么?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Tangrenshen Group had debt of CN¥7.68b, up from CN¥6.14b in one year. However, it does have CN¥2.96b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥4.72b.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月,唐人神集团的债务为76.8亿元人民币,高于一年内的61.4亿元人民币。但是,它确实有29.6亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净负债约为47.2亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002567 Debt to Equity History March 6th 2024
SZSE: 002567 债券与股本比率记录 2024 年 3 月 6 日

How Healthy Is Tangrenshen Group's Balance Sheet?

唐人神集团的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Tangrenshen Group had liabilities of CN¥6.27b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥6.08b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.96b in cash and CN¥594.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥8.80b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,唐仁申集团的负债为62.7亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为60.8亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有29.6亿元人民币的现金和5.943亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出88.0亿元人民币。

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥8.48b, we think shareholders really should watch Tangrenshen Group's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tangrenshen Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

鉴于这一赤字实际上高于公司市值84.8亿元人民币,我们认为股东确实应该关注唐仁申集团的债务水平,就像父母第一次看着孩子骑自行车一样。假设,如果公司被迫通过按当前股价筹集资金来偿还负债,则需要进行极其严重的稀释。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益将决定唐人神集团未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Tangrenshen Group reported revenue of CN¥29b, which is a gain of 19%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

在过去的12个月中,唐人神集团公布的收入为290亿元人民币,增长了19%,尽管它没有报告任何利息和税前收益。我们通常希望看到无利可图的公司实现更快的增长,但每家公司都有自己的发展。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Tangrenshen Group produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥535m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of CN¥1.3b over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Tangrenshen Group (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

在过去的十二个月中,唐人申集团出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。具体而言,息税前利润亏损为5.35亿元人民币。考虑到这一点,除了上述负债外,我们还对公司感到紧张。它需要迅速改善其运营,我们才会对此感兴趣。尤其是因为它在过去十二个月中的自由现金流为负13亿元人民币。这意味着它站在危险的一面。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们发现了唐人神集团的 2 个警告标志(1 个不容忽视!)在这里投资之前,您应该注意这一点。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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