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Is The Market Rewarding Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603396) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

Is The Market Rewarding Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603396) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

由于基本面喜忧参半,市场是否以负面情绪回报营口金晨机械有限公司(SHSE: 603396)?
Simply Wall St ·  02/26 23:53

Yingkou Jinchen Machinery (SHSE:603396) has had a rough three months with its share price down 15%. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's ROE today.

营口金晨机械(上海证券交易所代码:603396)经历了艰难的三个月,其股价下跌了15%。但是,我们决定研究公司的财务状况,以确定它们是否与价格下跌有关。股票价格通常由公司的长期财务业绩驱动,因此我们决定更多地关注公司的财务业绩。特别是,我们今天将关注营口金晨机械的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Yingkou Jinchen Machinery is:

因此,根据上述公式,营口金晨机械的投资回报率为:

6.4% = CN¥100m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

6.4% = 1亿元人民币 ÷ 16亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.06 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。另一种看法是,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就能获得0.06元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

A Side By Side comparison of Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's Earnings Growth And 6.4% ROE

营口金晨机械的收益增长和6.4%的投资回报率的并排比较

When you first look at it, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.4%. Having said that, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's five year net income decline rate was 4.4%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

乍一看,营口金晨机械的投资回报率看起来并不那么吸引人。然而,一项更仔细的研究表明,该公司的投资回报率与6.4%的行业平均水平相似。话虽如此,营口金晨机械五年净收入下降率为4.4%。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实略低。因此,收入的下降也可能是由此造成的。

That being said, we compared Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 26% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将营口金晨机械的表现与该行业的表现进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在同期5年内以26%的速度增长了收益时,我们对此感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603396 Past Earnings Growth February 27th 2024
SHSE: 603396 过去的收益增长 2024 年 2 月 27 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。无论情况如何,投资者都应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。如果你想知道营口金晨机械的估值,可以看看这个衡量营口金晨机械与行业相比的市盈率指标。

Is Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

营口金晨机械是否在高效利用利润?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (that is, a retention ratio of 71%), the fact that Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管正常的三年派息率中位数为29%(即留存率为71%),但营口金晨机械的收益萎缩这一事实还是相当令人费解的。看来可能还有其他一些原因可以解释这方面的不足。例如,业务可能会下滑。

In addition, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery has been paying dividends over a period of six years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,营口金晨机械六年来一直在派发股息,这表明尽管收益有所下降,但管理层仍倾向于继续支付股息。

Summary

摘要

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Yingkou Jinchen Machinery. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Yingkou Jinchen Machinery.

总的来说,我们对营口金晨机械的感觉喜忧参半。尽管该公司的利润保留率确实很高,但其低回报率可能会阻碍其收益增长。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为营口金晨机械确定的三种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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