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Dana (NYSE:DAN) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 29% If They Invested Three Years Ago

Dana (NYSE:DAN) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 29% If They Invested Three Years Ago

达纳(纽约证券交易所代码:DAN)投资者如果在三年前进行投资,将蒙受29%的损失
Simply Wall St ·  02/16 08:08

For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN) shareholders, since the share price is down 34% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 18%. And over the last year the share price fell 26%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted.

对于许多投资者来说,选股的要点是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但是选股的风险在于,你可能会买入表现不佳的公司。不幸的是,达纳公司(纽约证券交易所代码:DAN)的长期股东就是这种情况,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了34%,远低于18%左右的市场回报率。在过去的一年中,股价下跌了26%,因此我们怀疑许多股东是否感到高兴。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考虑到这一点,值得一看公司的基本面是否是长期业绩的驱动力,或者是否存在一些差异。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

We know that Dana has been profitable in the past. On the other hand, it reported a trailing twelve months loss, suggesting it isn't reliably profitable. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

我们知道达娜过去一直盈利。另一方面,它报告了过去十二个月的亏损,这表明它无法可靠地盈利。其他指标可能会让我们更好地了解其价值如何随着时间的推移而变化。

We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 14% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating Dana further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

我们注意到,在三年内,收入实际上以14%的年增长率增长,因此这似乎不是出售股票的理由。可能值得进一步调查Dana;虽然我们在分析中可能遗漏了一些东西,但也可能有机会。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:DAN Earnings and Revenue Growth February 16th 2024
纽约证券交易所:DAN 收益和收入增长 2024 年 2 月 16 日

This free interactive report on Dana's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于达纳资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Dana, it has a TSR of -29% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。就达纳而言,在过去3年的股东回报率为-29%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 23% in the last year, Dana shareholders lost 24% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Dana has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

去年整体市场上涨了约23%,而Dana的股东却下跌了24%(甚至包括股息)。即使是优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于感兴趣之前看到企业基本指标的改善。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中4%的年化亏损还要糟糕。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,冒险吧——Dana有两个警告信号,我们认为你应该注意。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,请看一下我们预计收益将增加的这份免费公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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