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Is Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd (SZSE:002478) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd (SZSE:002478) Using Too Much Debt?

江苏常宝钢管有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002478)的债务是否过多?
Simply Wall St ·  02/13 18:06

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002478) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,江苏常宝钢管有限公司, Ltd(深圳证券交易所:002478)使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来轻松履行债务和其他负债时,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务可以成为企业,尤其是资本密集型企业的重要工具。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd's Net Debt?

江苏常宝钢管有限公司的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd had CN¥150.0m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥281.1m, one year before. But it also has CN¥2.18b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.03b net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示江苏常宝钢管道有限公司在2023年9月的债务为1.50亿元人民币,低于一年前的2.81亿元人民币。但它也有21.8亿元的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它拥有20.3亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002478 Debt to Equity History February 13th 2024
SZSE: 002478 2024 年 2 月 13 日债务与股权比率历史记录

How Healthy Is Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd's Balance Sheet?

江苏常宝钢管有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.54b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥51.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.18b and CN¥1.65b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.24b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,江苏常宝SteelTubeltd在12个月内到期的负债为25.4亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为5180万元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为21.8亿元人民币,还有价值16.5亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出12.4亿元人民币 负债。

This excess liquidity suggests that Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种过剩的流动性表明,江苏常宝SteelTubeltd正在对债务采取谨慎的态度。鉴于它很容易获得足够的短期流动性,我们认为其贷款机构不会有任何问题。简而言之,江苏常宝SteelTubeltd的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

Even more impressive was the fact that Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd grew its EBIT by 146% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

更令人印象深刻的是,江苏常宝钢管带股份有限公司的息税前利润在十二个月内增长了146%。这种提振将使未来偿还债务变得更加容易。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益将决定江苏常宝SteelTubeltd未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd recorded free cash flow of 47% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。尽管江苏常宝SteelTubeltd的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。从最近三年来看,江苏常宝SteelTubelt的自由现金流占其息税前利润的47%,低于我们的预期。在偿还债务方面,这并不好。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd has CN¥2.03b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 146% over the last year. So we don't think Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Changbao SteeltubeLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管调查公司的债务始终是明智之举,但在本案中,江苏常宝SteelTubeltd拥有20.3亿元人民币的净现金和不错的资产负债表。去年,它的息税前利润增长了146%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。因此,我们认为江苏常宝SteelTubeltd使用债务没有风险。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们发现了江苏常宝SteelTubeltd的1个警告信号,在投资这里之前,你应该注意这个信号。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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