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Is Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd (SHSE:600641) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd (SHSE:600641) A Risky Investment?

上海万业企业有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600641)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/30 18:13

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Shanghai Wanye Enterprises Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600641) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到上海万业企业有限公司, Ltd(上海证券交易所股票代码:600641)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd

查看我们对上海万业企业有限公司的最新分析

What Is Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd's Net Debt?

上海万业企业有限公司的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd had CN¥567.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥154.5m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥3.74b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥3.17b.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,上海万业企业有限公司的债务在一年内增加了5.676亿元人民币,比1.545亿加元人民币有所增加。但是,它确实有37.4亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为31.7亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600641 Debt to Equity History January 30th 2024
SHSE: 600641 2024 年 1 月 30 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd's Balance Sheet?

上海万业企业有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd had liabilities of CN¥765.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥815.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.74b in cash and CN¥105.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.26b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,上海万业企业有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为7.654亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为8.159亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有37.4亿加元的现金和1.052亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有226亿元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

It's good to see that Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

很高兴看到上海万业企业有限公司的资产负债表上有充足的流动性,这表明对负债的管理比较保守。由于它拥有充足的资产,因此不太可能与贷款人发生麻烦。简而言之,上海万业企业有限公司的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥340m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

同样令人高兴的是,尽管去年在息税前利润方面出现亏损,但上海万业企业有限公司在过去12个月中扭转了局面,实现了3.4亿元人民币的息税前利润。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益比什么都更能决定上海万业企业有限公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last year, Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的效果仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。去年,上海万业企业有限公司的自由现金流总额为负数。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd has net cash of CN¥3.17b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Shanghai Wanye EnterprisesLtd has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,上海万业企业有限公司的净现金为31.7亿元人民币,流动资产也多于负债。因此,我们对上海万业企业有限公司使用债务没有任何问题。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,上海万业企业有限公司有3个警告标志(其中一个让我们有点不舒服),我们认为你应该知道。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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