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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank (SHSE:603323) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Five Years

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank (SHSE:603323) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Five Years

在过去五年中,正收益增长不足以让江苏苏州农村商业银行(SHSE: 603323)股东获得丰厚的回报
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 18:16

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd (SHSE:603323), since the last five years saw the share price fall 27%.

对于许多人来说,投资的要点是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但主要的游戏是找到足够的赢家来抵消输家。此时,一些股东可能会质疑他们对江苏苏州农村商业银行股份有限公司(SHSE: 603323)的投资,因为过去五年股价下跌了27%。

While the stock has risen 4.7% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

尽管该股在过去一周上涨了4.7%,但长期股东仍处于亏损状态,但让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank

查看我们对江苏苏州农村商业银行的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

While the share price declined over five years, Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 13% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管股价在五年内下跌,但江苏苏州农村商业银行实际上设法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增长13%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市场如何估值股票的好指南。或者,过去的增长预期可能不合理。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由于每股收益增长与股价下跌之间缺乏相关性,值得一看其他指标,以了解股价走势。

In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 9.2% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

与股价形成鲜明对比的是,在五年期间,收入实际上每年增长9.2%。对收入和收益进行更详细的审查可能会也可能无法解释股价下跌的原因;可能有机会。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603323 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 29th 2024
SHSE: 603323 收益和收入增长 2024 年 1 月 29 日

We know that Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我们知道江苏苏州农村商业银行最近提高了利润,但是未来会发生什么?因此,我们建议您查看这份显示共识预测的免费报告

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank the TSR over the last 5 years was -15%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,江苏苏州农村商业银行过去5年的股东总回报率为-15%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 5.3% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 18%. Given the total loss of 3% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank you should know about.

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但江苏苏州农村商业银行的股东可以放心,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的5.3%的亏损没有18%左右的市场亏损那么严重。鉴于五年内每年的总损失为3%,在过去的十二个月中,回报率似乎有所下降。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解江苏苏州农村商业银行,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,考虑风险。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了一个你应该知道的江苏苏州农村商业银行的警告标志。

We will like Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大规模的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢江苏苏州农村商业银行。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费清单,列出了最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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