share_log

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000596) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000596) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

安徽古井酒厂有限公司's (SZSE: 000596) 股票一直在下滑但基本面看起来很强劲:市场错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/25 19:18

It is hard to get excited after looking at Anhui Gujing Distillery's (SZSE:000596) recent performance, when its stock has declined 21% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Anhui Gujing Distillery's ROE in this article.

看了安徽古井酒厂(SZSE: 000596)最近的表现,很难感到兴奋,当时该厂的股票在过去三个月中下跌了21%。但是,如果你密切关注,你可能会发现,鉴于市场通常会奖励财务状况良好的公司,其强劲的财务状况可能意味着该股的长期价值可能会增加。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究安徽古井酒厂的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

Check out our latest analysis for Anhui Gujing Distillery

查看我们对安徽古井酒厂的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Anhui Gujing Distillery is:

因此,根据上述公式,安徽古井酒厂的投资回报率为:

21% = CN¥4.5b ÷ CN¥22b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

21% = 45亿元人民币 ÷ 22亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.21 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。对此进行概念化的一种方法是,该公司每拥有1元人民币的股本即可获得0.21元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Anhui Gujing Distillery's Earnings Growth And 21% ROE

安徽古井酒厂的收益增长和21%的投资回报率的并排比较

To start with, Anhui Gujing Distillery's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 13% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This probably laid the ground for Anhui Gujing Distillery's moderate 18% net income growth seen over the past five years.

首先,安徽古井酒厂的投资回报率似乎可以接受。特别是与行业平均水平的13%相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。这可能为安徽古井酒厂在过去五年中实现18%的温和净收入增长奠定了基础。

We then performed a comparison between Anhui Gujing Distillery's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 18% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将安徽古井酒厂的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,结果显示该公司的增长与5年同期18%的行业平均增长率相似。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000596 Past Earnings Growth January 26th 2024
SZSE: 000596 过去的收益增长 2024年1月26日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Anhui Gujing Distillery is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查安徽古井酒厂相对于其行业的市盈率是高还是低。

Is Anhui Gujing Distillery Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

安徽古井酒厂是否有效地将利润再投资?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 40% (implying that the company retains 60% of its profits), it seems that Anhui Gujing Distillery is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

安徽古井酒厂的三年派息率中位数为40%(这意味着该公司保留了60%的利润),看来安徽古井酒厂正在进行有效的再投资,其收益将实现可观的增长,并支付可观的股息。

Additionally, Anhui Gujing Distillery has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 52% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,安徽古井酒厂已在至少十年内派发了股息,这意味着该公司非常认真地与股东分享利润。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内升至52%。无论如何,尽管预期的派息率更高,但预计该公司的投资回报率不会有太大变化。

Summary

摘要

In total, we are pretty happy with Anhui Gujing Distillery's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,我们对安徽古井酒厂的表现非常满意。特别是,我们喜欢该公司对其业务进行大量再投资,而且回报率很高。毫不奇怪,这带来了令人印象深刻的收益增长。最新的行业分析师预测显示,预计该公司将保持目前的增长率。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发