Despite an already strong run, GME Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8188) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 33% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 25% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think GME Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Construction industry is similar at about 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for GME Group Holdings
How GME Group Holdings Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at GME Group Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on GME Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like GME Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 12%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 264% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that GME Group Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Its shares have lifted substantially and now GME Group Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
To our surprise, GME Group Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for GME Group Holdings that you need to take into consideration.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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有鉴于此,奇怪的是,GME Group Holdings的市销率与其他多数公司持平。显然,一些股东认为最近的表现已达到极限,并一直在接受较低的销售价格。
最后一句话
其股价已大幅上涨,现在GME Group Holdings的市销率已恢复在行业中位数范围内。通常,我们倾向于限制使用市销率来确定市场对公司整体健康状况的看法。
令我们惊讶的是,GME Group Holdings透露,其三年收入趋势对市销率的贡献没有我们预期的那么大,因为这些趋势看起来好于当前的行业预期。可能存在一些未观察到的收入威胁,使市销售率无法与这种积极表现相提并论。如果最近的中期收入趋势持续下去,至少价格下跌的风险似乎有所减弱,但投资者似乎认为未来的收入可能会出现一些波动。