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Amicus Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FOLD) Shares Climb 28% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 3 06:03

The Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOLD) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Looking further back, the 18% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Amicus Therapeutics' P/S ratio of 11.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Biotechs industry in the United States is also close to 12.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Amicus Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:FOLD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024

What Does Amicus Therapeutics' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Amicus Therapeutics as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Keen to find out how analysts think Amicus Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Amicus Therapeutics' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 52% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 33% per annum as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 243% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Amicus Therapeutics is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Amicus Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Amicus Therapeutics' P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

When you consider that Amicus Therapeutics' revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Amicus Therapeutics that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Amicus Therapeutics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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