share_log

Is Shanghai Lonyer Data (SHSE:603003) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Lonyer Data (SHSE:603003) A Risky Investment?

上海 Lonyer 数据(SHSE: 603003)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/19 20:29

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shanghai Lonyer Data Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603003) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,上海龙源数据有限公司(SHSE: 603003)也使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Lonyer Data

查看我们对上海 Lonyer 数据的最新分析

What Is Shanghai Lonyer Data's Net Debt?

上海朗源数据的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Shanghai Lonyer Data had CN¥523.7m of debt, up from CN¥142.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥998.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥474.5m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,上海龙源数据的债务为5.237亿元人民币,高于去年同期的1.420亿元人民币。点击图片了解更多详情。但是,它确实有9.982亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为4.745亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603003 Debt to Equity History December 20th 2023
SHSE: 603003 2023 年 12 月 20 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Shanghai Lonyer Data's Balance Sheet?

Shanghai Lonyer Data的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Lonyer Data had liabilities of CN¥987.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥410.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥998.2m in cash and CN¥684.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥284.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,上海龙源数据在12个月内到期的负债为9.874亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为4.104亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有9.982亿元的现金和6.84亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出2.84亿元人民币 负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Shanghai Lonyer Data could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Lonyer Data has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种短期流动性表明,由于其资产负债表远未紧张,上海龙源数据可能会轻松还清债务。简而言之,上海龙源数据的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

In fact Shanghai Lonyer Data's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 56% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Lonyer Data will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

实际上,上海龙源数据的救命之处在于其低债务水平,因为其息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了56%。收益下降(如果这种趋势持续下去)最终也可能使即使是微不足道的债务也相当危险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为上海龙源数据需要收益来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Shanghai Lonyer Data may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last two years, Shanghai Lonyer Data created free cash flow amounting to 17% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。Shanghai Lonyer Data的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的效果仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的两年中,上海龙源数据创造了相当于其息税前利润的17%的自由现金流,表现平淡无奇。这种低迷的现金转换水平削弱了其管理和偿还债务的能力。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shanghai Lonyer Data has CN¥474.5m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Shanghai Lonyer Data's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shanghai Lonyer Data .

尽管调查公司的债务始终是明智之举,但在本案中,上海龙源数据拥有4.745亿元人民币的净现金和不错的资产负债表。因此,我们对上海龙源数据的债务使用并不感到困扰。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。为此,你应该注意我们在上海龙源数据中发现的1个警告信号。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发