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We Think Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002150) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002150) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为江苏通润装备科技有限公司(SZSE: 002150)可以控制债务
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/06 22:02

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002150) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他说,“永久亏损的可能性是我担心的风险... 我认识的每位务实投资者都很担心。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,江苏通润装备科技股份有限公司, Ltd(深圳证券交易所:002150)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多少风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷方,那么债务就任其摆布。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有地离开。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd

查看我们对江苏通润装备科技有限公司的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd Carry?

江苏通润装备科技有限公司背负多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥347.2m, up from CN¥21.0m in one year. But it also has CN¥922.5m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥575.4m net cash.

您可以点击下图了解更多详细信息,该图片显示,截至2023年9月,江苏通润装备科技有限公司的债务为3.472亿元人民币,高于一年的2100万元人民币。但它也有9.225亿元人民币的现金可以抵消这一点,这意味着它有5.754亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002150 Debt to Equity History December 7th 2023
深圳证券交易所:002150 债权与股权历史记录 2023 年 12 月 7 日

How Healthy Is Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

江苏通润装备科技有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.91b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥165.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥922.5m as well as receivables valued at CN¥812.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥341.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,江苏通润装备科技有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为19.1亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为1.654亿元人民币。为了抵消这些债务,它有9.225亿元人民币的现金以及价值8.128亿元人民币的应收账款,将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出3.411亿元人民币。

Of course, Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥5.33b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

当然,江苏通润装备科技有限公司的市值为5.33亿元人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监控资产负债表。尽管它的负债确实值得注意,但江苏通润装备科技有限公司的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它能够安全地管理债务。

In fact Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 46% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

实际上,江苏通润装备科技有限公司的救恩之处在于其低债务水平,因为其息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了46%。收益下降(如果这种趋势持续下去)最终也可能使即使是适度的债务也变得相当危险。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表表现的是江苏通润装备科技有限公司的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。点击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd's free cash flow amounted to 30% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法削减债务。江苏通润设备科技有限公司可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理债务的能力。在过去三年中,江苏通润装备科技有限公司的自由现金流占其息税前利润的30%,低于我们的预期。这种疲软的现金转换使处理债务变得更加困难。

Summing Up

总结

We could understand if investors are concerned about Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥575.4m. So we are not troubled with Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Jiangsu Tongrun Equipment TechnologyLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...

我们可以理解投资者是否担心江苏通润装备科技有限公司的负债,但我们可以放心,它的净现金为5.754亿元人民币。因此,我们对江苏通润装备科技有限公司的债务使用并不感到困扰。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。请注意,江苏通润装备科技有限公司在我们的投资分析中显示了两个警告信号,其中一个可能很严重...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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