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We Think Johnson Electric Holdings (HKG:179) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think Johnson Electric Holdings (HKG:179) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我们认为德昌电机控股公司(HKG: 179)可以轻松管理其债务
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/01 19:45

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Johnson Electric Holdings Limited (HKG:179) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人说,作为投资者,波动性而不是债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,德昌电机控股有限公司(HKG:179)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多少风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面后果。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

Check out our latest analysis for Johnson Electric Holdings

查看我们对德昌电机控股的最新分析

What Is Johnson Electric Holdings's Net Debt?

德昌电机控股的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, Johnson Electric Holdings had US$368.3m of debt at September 2023, down from US$471.7m a year prior. But it also has US$461.3m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$93.1m net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,德昌电机控股的债务为3.683亿美元,低于去年同期的4.717亿美元。但它也有4.613亿美元的现金可以抵消这一点,这意味着它有9,310万美元的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:179 Debt to Equity History December 2nd 2023
香港交易所:179 债权与股权比率历史记录 2023 年 12 月 2 日

How Strong Is Johnson Electric Holdings' Balance Sheet?

德昌电机控股的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Johnson Electric Holdings had liabilities of US$1.21b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$293.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$461.3m in cash and US$689.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$350.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据最近公布的资产负债表,德昌电机控股在12个月内到期的负债为12.1亿美元,12个月后到期的负债为2.930亿美元。抵消这一点的是,它有4.613亿美元的现金和6.898亿美元的应收账款,这些应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出3.507亿美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Johnson Electric Holdings has a market capitalization of US$1.39b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Johnson Electric Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为德昌电机控股的市值为13.9亿美元,因此,如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强资产负债表。但很明显,我们绝对应该仔细研究它能否在不稀释的情况下管理债务。尽管负债可观,但德昌电机控股拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

Even more impressive was the fact that Johnson Electric Holdings grew its EBIT by 329% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Johnson Electric Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

更令人印象深刻的是,德昌电机控股公司的息税前利润在十二个月内增长了329%。如果这种增长得以维持,将使债务在未来几年更加易于管理。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益,比什么都重要,将决定德昌电机控股公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Johnson Electric Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Johnson Electric Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 63% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

但是我们的最终考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。德昌电机控股的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理债务的能力。在最近三年中,德昌电机控股公司的自由现金流占其息税前收益的63%,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这基本处于正常水平。这种冷酷的硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。

Summing Up

总结

While Johnson Electric Holdings does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$93.1m. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 329% over the last year. So is Johnson Electric Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Johnson Electric Holdings you should be aware of.

尽管德昌电机控股的负债确实多于流动资产,但其净现金也为9,310万美元。去年它的息税前利润增长了329%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。那么,德昌电机控股的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。一个很好的例子:我们发现了德昌电机控股的1个警告信号,你应该注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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