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Is Tangrenshen Group (SZSE:002567) A Risky Investment?

Is Tangrenshen Group (SZSE:002567) A Risky Investment?

唐人神集团(深交所:002567)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/24 17:57

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Tangrenshen Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:002567) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你研究公司的资产负债表的风险时,自然会考虑它的资产负债表,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,唐人神集团有限公司(SZSE:002567)也使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以用新的资本或自由现金流还清债务。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

View our latest analysis for Tangrenshen Group

查看我们对唐人神集团的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Tangrenshen Group Carry?

唐人神集团背负多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Tangrenshen Group had CN¥7.68b of debt, an increase on CN¥6.14b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.96b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥4.72b.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,唐人神集团在一年内有76.8亿元人民币的债务,比61.4亿元人民币增加了人民币。另一方面,它拥有29.6亿元人民币的现金,净负债约为47.2亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002567 Debt to Equity History November 24th 2023
深圳证券交易所:002567 债权与股权历史记录 2023 年 11 月 24 日

A Look At Tangrenshen Group's Liabilities

看看唐人神集团的负债

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tangrenshen Group had liabilities of CN¥6.27b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥6.08b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.96b and CN¥594.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥8.80b.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,唐人神集团在一年内到期的负债为62.7亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为60.8亿元人民币。另一方面,它在一年内有29.6亿元人民币的现金和价值5.943亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债超过现金和(近期)应收账款总额88.0亿元人民币。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥9.61b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Tangrenshen Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tangrenshen Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

相对于96.1亿元人民币的市值,这一赤字相当可观,因此这确实表明股东应密切关注唐人神集团的债务使用情况。如果其贷款人要求其支撑资产负债表,股东可能会面临严重的稀释。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定唐人神集团能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你专注于未来,你可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Over 12 months, Tangrenshen Group reported revenue of CN¥29b, which is a gain of 19%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

在过去的12个月中,唐人神集团公布的收入为29亿元人民币,增长了19%,尽管它没有报告任何利息和税前收益。我们通常希望看到无利可图的公司实现更快的增长,但每家公司都有自己的增长。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Tangrenshen Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥535m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥1.3b of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Tangrenshen Group (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

重要的是,唐人申集团去年出现利息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。事实上,它在息税前利润水平上损失了5.35亿元人民币。考虑到除了上述负债外,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大信心。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非匹配,尽管随着时间的推移可能会有所改善。但是,它在去年耗尽了13亿元人民币的现金,这无济于事。因此,简而言之,这是一只风险很大的股票。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们发现唐人神集团有3个警告信号(其中2个有点不愉快!)你应该知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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