What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology (SHSE:603983) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.055 = CN¥183m ÷ (CN¥4.1b - CN¥711m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology has an ROCE of 5.5%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Personal Products industry average of 9.3%.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology here for free.
What Can We Tell From Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's ROCE Trend?
In terms of Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 5.5% from 30% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
On a side note, Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 18% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Bottom Line On Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's ROCE
While returns have fallen for Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 54% in the last three years. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.
Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology that you might be interested in.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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