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As Designer Brands (NYSE:DBI) Surges 12% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth

As Designer Brands (NYSE:DBI) Surges 12% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth

随着设计师品牌(纽约证券交易所代码:DBI)上周飙升12%,投资者现在可能会注意到该公司的五年收益增长
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/09 06:43

This week we saw the Designer Brands Inc. (NYSE:DBI) share price climb by 12%. But don't envy holders -- looking back over 5 years the returns have been really bad. In that time the share price has delivered a rude shock to holders, who find themselves down 60% after a long stretch. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. We'd err towards caution given the long term under-performance.

本周我们看到设计师品牌公司(纽约证券交易所代码:DBI)的股价上涨了12%。但是不要羡慕持有者——回顾过去的5年,回报非常糟糕。在那段时间里,股价给持有人带来了粗鲁的冲击,他们发现自己在很长一段时间后下跌了60%。因此,我们不愿为短期增长加大力度。鉴于长期表现不佳,我们会谨慎行事。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

尽管过去一周令股东更加放心,但在过去五年中,他们仍处于亏损状态,所以让我们看看基础业务是否是造成下降的原因。

See our latest analysis for Designer Brands

查看我们对设计师品牌的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Designer Brands moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

在股价增长的五年中,Designer Brands从亏损转为盈利。这通常被认为是积极的,因此我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。其他指标可能更好地解释股价的走势。

The modest 1.9% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Revenue is actually up 0.4% over the time period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

1.9%的适度股息收益率不太可能指导市场对该股的看法。在此期间,收入实际上增长了0.4%。因此,看来人们可能必须仔细研究基本面才能理解股价下跌的原因。毕竟,可能有机会。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:DBI Earnings and Revenue Growth November 9th 2023
纽约证券交易所:DBI 收益和收入增长 2023 年 11 月 9 日

We know that Designer Brands has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

我们知道,在过去的三年中,Designer Brands的利润有所提高,但是未来会怎样?您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Designer Brands, it has a TSR of -55% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率以及股价回报。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设股息已被再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报。就设计师品牌而言,其过去5年的股东总回报率为-55%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息促进了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Designer Brands shareholders are down 24% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 17%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 9% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Designer Brands (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

Designer Brands的股东今年下跌了24%(甚至包括股息),但市场本身却上涨了17%。即使是优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望看到企业的基本指标有所改善,然后才会变得过于感兴趣。令人遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东们在五年内每年面临9%的总亏损。我们意识到,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该了解我们在设计师品牌中发现的5个警告信号(包括一个有点令人担忧的信号)。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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