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Is Shenandoah Telecommunications (NASDAQ:SHEN) A Risky Investment?

Is Shenandoah Telecommunications (NASDAQ:SHEN) A Risky Investment?

雪兰多电信(纳斯达克股票代码:SHEN)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/06 06:26

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Shenandoah Telecommunications Company (NASDAQ:SHEN) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他说:“我担心的是永久亏损的可能性... 我认识的每位务实投资者都很担心,而不是担心股价的波动。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,聪明的货币似乎知道债务——通常与破产有关——是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,雪兰多电信公司(纳斯达克股票代码:SHEN)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其使用债务?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么债务就会任由他们摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东才能控制债务。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事就是综合考虑其现金和债务。

See our latest analysis for Shenandoah Telecommunications

查看我们对雪兰多厄电信的最新分析

What Is Shenandoah Telecommunications's Debt?

雪兰多电信的债务是什么?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Shenandoah Telecommunications had US$149.9m of debt, up from US$25.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$37.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$112.6m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,雪兰多电信的债务为1.499亿美元,高于去年同期的2500万美元。点击图片了解更多详情。但是,它确实有3730万美元的现金抵消了这一点,导致净负债约为1.126亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:SHEN Debt to Equity History November 6th 2023
纳斯达克股票交易所:申债权与股权历史记录 2023 年 11 月 6 日

How Strong Is Shenandoah Telecommunications' Balance Sheet?

雪兰多电信的资产负债表有多强劲?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenandoah Telecommunications had liabilities of US$84.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$319.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$37.3m as well as receivables valued at US$23.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$343.6m.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,雪兰多厄电信在一年内到期的负债为8,440万美元,此后到期的负债为3.199亿美元。为了抵消这些债务,它在12个月内到期的现金为3,730万美元,还有价值2,350万美元的应收账款。因此,其负债超过现金和(近期)应收账款总额3.436亿美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Shenandoah Telecommunications is worth US$1.24b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

这种赤字还不算严重,因为雪兰多电信的市值为12.4亿美元,因此,如果有需要,可能会筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但很明显,我们绝对应该仔细研究它能否在不稀释的情况下管理债务。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

Shenandoah Telecommunications has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.3 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 0.33 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Notably, Shenandoah Telecommunications made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of US$14m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenandoah Telecommunications's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

雪兰多电信的债务与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率非常低,为1.3,因此奇怪的是,利息覆盖范围薄弱,去年的息税前收益仅为利息支出的0.33倍。因此,不管怎样,很明显,债务水平并非微不足道。值得注意的是,雪兰多电信去年在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,但在过去十二个月中将其提高至正息税前利润1400万美元。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益,比什么都重要,将决定雪兰多厄电信未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你专注于未来,你可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Shenandoah Telecommunications burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但是我们的最终考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,值得检查一下利息和税前收益(EBIT)中有多少由自由现金流支持。去年,雪兰多电信公司烧掉了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, Shenandoah Telecommunications's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its net debt to EBITDA is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Shenandoah Telecommunications's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenandoah Telecommunications you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

从表面上看,雪兰多厄电信的利息掩护使我们对该股进行了试探,其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流并不比一年中最繁忙夜晚那家空荡荡的餐厅更具吸引力。但好的一面是,其息税折旧摊销前利润的净负债是一个好兆头,也使我们更加乐观。一旦我们综合考虑上述所有因素,在我们看来,雪兰多厄电信的债务使其有点冒险。这不一定是一件坏事,但如果杠杆率降低,我们通常会感到更舒服。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外的风险。一个很好的例子:我们发现了雪兰多厄电信的两个警告信号,你应该注意,其中一个对我们来说不太合适。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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