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Investors in Jefferies Financial Group (NYSE:JEF) Have Seen Favorable Returns of 83% Over the Past Three Years

Investors in Jefferies Financial Group (NYSE:JEF) Have Seen Favorable Returns of 83% Over the Past Three Years

在过去三年中,杰富瑞金融集团(纽约证券交易所代码:JEF)的投资者获得了83%的丰厚回报
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/02 14:06

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. Just take a look at Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:JEF), which is up 59%, over three years, soundly beating the market return of 13% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 3.2% in the last year , including dividends .

从股票市场中受益的一种简单方法是购买指数基金。但是,如果你选择了正确的个股,你的收益可能不止于此。看看杰富瑞金融集团公司(纽约证券交易所代码:JEF),该公司在三年内上涨了59%,远远超过了13%的市场回报率(不包括股息)。但是,最近的回报并没有那么令人印象深刻,该股去年的回报率仅为3.2%,包括股息。

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

让我们来看看长期的基本面,看看它们是否与股东的回报一致。

Check out our latest analysis for Jefferies Financial Group

查看我们对杰富瑞金融集团的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Over the last three years, Jefferies Financial Group failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 11% (annualized).

在过去三年中,杰富瑞金融集团未能增长每股收益,每股收益下降了11%(按年计算)。

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,我们怀疑市场是否将每股收益作为公司价值的主要判断者。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

The revenue drop of 8.0% is as underwhelming as some politicians. What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation

8.0%的收入下降与一些政客一样令人失望。显而易见的是,历史收益和收入与股价走势不相称。因此,你可能需要更深入地挖掘才能了解情况

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:JEF Earnings and Revenue Growth November 2nd 2023
纽约证券交易所:JEF 2023 年 11 月 2 日收益和收入增长

If you are thinking of buying or selling Jefferies Financial Group stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考虑买入或卖出杰富瑞金融集团的股票,则应查看这份有关其资产负债表的免费详细报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Jefferies Financial Group's TSR for the last 3 years was 83%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率以及股价回报。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设股息已被再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,杰富瑞金融集团过去3年的股东总回报率为83%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Jefferies Financial Group shareholders gained a total return of 3.2% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 14% over five years. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Jefferies Financial Group you should be aware of.

杰富瑞金融集团的股东在年内获得了3.2%的总回报。不幸的是,这还没有达到市场回报率。这可能是一个好兆头,表明该公司的长期业绩记录甚至更好,在五年内为股东提供了14%的年度股东总回报。尽管股价上涨放缓,但该业务很有可能继续表现出色。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。一个很好的例子:我们发现了杰富瑞金融集团的4个警告信号,你应该注意。

Of course Jefferies Financial Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,杰富瑞金融集团可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长型股票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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