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Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600955) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600955) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

利华益威远化工有限公司's(SHSE: 600955)表现良好,但基本面看上去各不相同:该股有明确的方向吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/02 00:21

Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical's (SHSE:600955) stock is up by 4.9% over the past week. However, we decided to study the company's mixed-bag of fundamentals to assess what this could mean for future share prices, as stock prices tend to be aligned with a company's long-term financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical's ROE today.

利华益威远化学(SHSE:600955)的股票在过去一周上涨了4.9%。但是,我们决定研究该公司的基本面好坏参半,以评估这对未来股价可能意味着什么,因为股价往往与公司的长期财务表现一致。特别是,我们今天将关注利华益威远化工的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

Check out our latest analysis for Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical

查看我们对利华益威远化工的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical is:

因此,根据上述公式,利华易威远化工的投资回报率为:

2.4% = CN¥204m ÷ CN¥8.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

2.4% = 2.04亿元人民币 ¥86亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.02 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。这意味着,公司每获得价值1元人民币的股东权益,就会产生0.02元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效利润创造指标。我们现在需要评估公司为未来增长再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润,这样我们就可以了解公司的增长潜力。假设其他一切都保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical's Earnings Growth And 2.4% ROE

利华益威远化工的收益增长和2.4%的投资回报率

As you can see, Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.8%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Hence, the flat earnings seen by Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

如你所见,利华益威远化工的投资回报率看起来相当疲软。不仅如此,即使与6.8%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不起眼。因此,利华益威远化工在过去五年中的收益持平,可能是其投资回报率较低的结果。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by 12% over the last few years.

接下来,与行业净收入增长相比,我们发现该行业在过去几年中收益增长了12%。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600955 Past Earnings Growth November 2nd 2023
上海证券交易所:600955 过去的收益增长 2023 年 11 月 2 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

赋予公司价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否影响了公司的预期收益增长(或下降)。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是黯淡的未来。与其他公司相比,利华益威远化工的估值是否公平?这三种估值指标可能有助于您做出决定。

Is Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

利华益威远化工是否有效使用其留存收益?

Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical has a low three-year median payout ratio of 21% (or a retention ratio of 79%) but the negligible earnings growth number doesn't reflect this as high growth usually follows high profit retention.

利华益威远化工的三年期中位派息率较低,为21%(或留存率为79%),但微不足道的收益增长数字并不能反映这一点,因为高增长通常伴随着高利润留存率。

In addition, Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical only recently started paying a dividend so the management must have decided the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 15% over the next three years. As a result, the expected drop in Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical's payout ratio explains the anticipated rise in the company's future ROE to 8.9%, over the same period.

此外,利华益威远化工直到最近才开始派发股息,因此管理层一定已经决定股东偏爱分红而不是收益增长。我们最新的分析师数据显示,该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内降至15%。因此,利华益威远化工股息率的预期下降解释了公司未来同期投资回报率预计将上升至8.9%。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Lihuayi Weiyuan Chemical can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们觉得利华益威远化工所表现出的表现可以有多种解读。尽管它似乎保留了大部分利润,但鉴于投资回报率低,投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收益增长表明我们的理论是正确的。话虽如此,我们研究了分析师的最新预测,发现尽管该公司过去曾缩减收益,但分析师预计其未来收益将增长。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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