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3.9% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd (SHSE:600908) Shareholders Over That Period

3.9% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd (SHSE:600908) Shareholders Over That Period

三年内3.9%的收益增长并未转化为无锡农村商业银行有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600908)股东在此期间的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/23 18:52

No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But it can difficult to make money in a declining market. The Wuxi Rural Commercial Bank Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600908) is down 12% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -2.2% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 11% over the last three years.

当他们在一只股票上赔钱时,没有人喜欢它。但在一个不断下滑的市场中赚钱可能很困难。这个无锡农村商业银行股份有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600908)过去三年下跌了12%,但如果计入股息,总股东回报率为-2.2%。这比过去三年下跌11%的市场要好。

Since Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd has shed CN¥559m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由于无锡农村商业银行股份有限公司在过去7天里市值缩水5.59亿元人民币,让我们看看长期下跌是否受到了企业经济的推动。

View our latest analysis for Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd

查看我们对无锡农村商业银行有限公司的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

虽然有效市场假说继续被一些人传授,但事实证明,市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以感受到投资者对一家公司的态度随着时间的推移发生了怎样的变化。

Although the share price is down over three years, Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd actually managed to grow EPS by 12% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

尽管股价在三年多的时间里下跌,但无锡农村商业银行在这段时间里实际上实现了每股收益12%的增长。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑,每股收益不是这段时间内业务表现的良好指南(可能是因为一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,该公司过去被过度炒作,因此其增长令人失望。

It's strange to see such muted share price performance despite sustained growth. Perhaps a clue lies in other metrics. Therefore, we should look at some other metrics to try to understand why the market is disappointed.

在持续增长的情况下,股价表现如此低迷,这是一件奇怪的事情。或许线索存在于其他指标中。因此,我们应该看看其他一些指标,试图理解为什么市场会感到失望。

Revenue is actually up 15% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

这三年的营收实际上增长了15%,因此股价下跌似乎也与营收无关。无锡农村商业银行有限公司可能值得进一步调查;虽然我们在这一分析上可能遗漏了一些东西,但也可能存在机会。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片可以发现确切的价值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600908 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 23rd 2023
上海证交所:600908收益和收入增长2023年10月23日

We know that Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我们知道无锡农村商业银行最近提高了利润,但未来会是什么样子呢?因此,我们建议您查看以下内容免费显示共识预测的报告

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was -2.2%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。公平地说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。恰好,无锡农村商业银行过去3年的总回报率为-2.2%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。该公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd shares lost 1.7% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 6.5%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd that you should be aware of.

虽然看到无锡农村商业银行股价全年下跌1.7%肯定令人失望,但这并没有市场6.5%的跌幅那么糟糕。较长期的投资者不会如此沮丧,因为他们在五年内每年会获得3%的收益。在最好的情况下,去年只是通向更光明未来的旅途中的一个暂时的转折点。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,我们已经确定无锡农村商业银行有限公司2个警示标志这一点你应该知道。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,你会的想怀念这一切吗?免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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