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Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For PKU HealthCare Corp.,Ltd. (SZSE:000788)

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For PKU HealthCare Corp.,Ltd. (SZSE:000788)

北大医疗股份有限公司(深交所股票代码:000788)以这些价格提高了股东回报的风险
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/19 23:14

When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 33x, you may consider PKU HealthCare Corp.,Ltd. (SZSE:000788) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 63.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

当中国将近一半的公司的市盈率(或市盈率)低于33倍时,你可以考虑北大医疗保健股份有限公司。(SZSE:000788)以其63.9倍的市盈率完全避免作为一只股票。然而,仅仅从表面上看待市盈率是不明智的,因为可能会有一个解释,为什么它如此之高。

PKU HealthCareLtd certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

北大HealthCareLtd最近确实做得很好,因为它的收入一直在以非常快的速度增长。市盈率之所以高,可能是因为投资者认为,这种强劲的盈利增长在不久的将来将足以跑赢大盘。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的生存能力感到有点紧张。

See our latest analysis for PKU HealthCareLtd

查看我们对北大HealthCareLtd.的最新分析

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000788 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 20th 2023
深圳证交所:000788市盈率与行业2023年10月20日
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our
我们没有分析师的预测,但您可以通过查看我们的
free
免费
report on PKU HealthCareLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
报告北大健康护理有限公司的收益、收入和现金流。

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

增长指标告诉我们关于高市盈率的哪些信息?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like PKU HealthCareLtd's to be considered reasonable.

有一种固有的假设,即一家公司的市盈率应该远远超过北大HealthCareLtd.这样的市盈率被认为是合理的。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 44% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 32% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

回顾过去一年,公司的利润实现了44%的不同寻常的增长。令人欣喜的是,由于过去12个月的增长,每股收益也比三年前上涨了32%。因此,公平地说,最近的收益增长对公司来说是一流的。

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 45% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

将最近的中期收益轨迹与大盘一年增长45%的预测进行比较,结果显示,按年率计算,它的吸引力明显下降。

With this information, we find it concerning that PKU HealthCareLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

有了这些信息,我们发现北大医疗保健有限公司的市盈率高于市场。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近的情况所显示的要乐观得多,不愿以任何价格抛售他们的股票。如果市盈率下降到与最近的增长率更一致的水平,现有股东很可能会让自己未来感到失望。

What We Can Learn From PKU HealthCareLtd's P/E?

我们可以从北大健康护理有限公司的P/E中学到什么?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

仅仅用市盈率来决定你是否应该出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成为公司未来前景的实用指南。

Our examination of PKU HealthCareLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

我们对北大HealthCareLtd的调查显示,该公司三年的盈利趋势对其高市盈率的影响并不像我们预期的那么大,因为它们看起来比目前的市场预期更糟糕。目前,我们对高市盈率越来越感到不安,因为这种盈利表现不太可能长期支撑这种积极情绪。如果近期的中期盈利趋势持续下去,将使股东的投资面临重大风险,潜在投资者面临支付过高溢价的危险。

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for PKU HealthCareLtd you should know about.

还有其他风险呢?每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现北大HealthCareLtd的1个警告标志你应该知道。

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

重要的是确保你寻找的是一家伟大的公司,而不仅仅是你遇到的第一个想法。所以让我们来看看这个免费近期收益增长强劲(市盈率较低)的有趣公司名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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