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Shareholders in S.F. Holding (SZSE:002352) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in S.F. Holding (SZSE:002352) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

顺丰控股(SZSE: 002352)的股东如果在三年前投资,他们将处于亏损状态
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/15 21:14

Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term S.F. Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002352) shareholders. Sadly for them, the share price is down 54% in that time. Furthermore, it's down 12% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 6.8% in the same timeframe.

投资股票不可避免地意味着买入一些表现不佳的公司。但是从长远来看,过去三年尤其艰难。 顺丰控股有限公司 (SZSE: 002352) 股东。令他们感到遗憾的是,那段时间股价下跌了54%。此外,它在大约一个季度内下降了12%。对于持有者来说,这并不好玩。但是,有人可能会争辩说,价格受到了大盘的影响,大盘在同一时间段内下跌了6.8%。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,让我们来看看公司的长期表现是否与基础业务的进展一致。

View our latest analysis for S.F. Holding

查看我们对顺丰控股的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, S.F. Holding actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 3.2% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在不幸的三年股价下跌中,顺丰控股的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年增长3.2%。这真是个难题,表明股价可能会暂时上涨。或者,过去的增长预期可能不合理。

It looks to us like the market was probably too optimistic around growth three years ago. However, taking a look at other business metrics might shed a bit more light on the share price action.

在我们看来,三年前市场可能对增长过于乐观。但是,看看其他业务指标可能会为股价走势提供更多启示。

With a rather small yield of just 0.6% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 25% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating S.F. Holding further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

由于收益率相当低,仅为0.6%,我们怀疑该股的股价是否基于其股息。我们注意到,在三年内,收入实际上以25%的年增长率增长,因此这似乎不是出售股票的理由。可能值得进一步调查顺丰控股;尽管我们在分析中可能遗漏了一些东西,但也可能有机会。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002352 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 16th 2023
深圳证券交易所:002352 2023年10月16日收益和收入增长

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. You can see what analysts are predicting for S.F. Holding in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪酬比资本状况相似的公司的大多数首席执行官更适中。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。你可以在这篇文章中看到分析师对顺丰控股的预测 互动的 未来利润估计图。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 3.2% in the twelve months, S.F. Holding shareholders did even worse, losing 16% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.1%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand S.F. Holding better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for S.F. Holding that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管大盘在过去十二个月中下跌了约3.2%,但顺丰控股股东的表现更差,损失了16%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能仅仅是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚1.1%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。从长远来看,追踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解顺丰控股,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现了 顺丰控股有 1 个警告标志 在这里投资之前,你应该注意这一点。

We will like S.F. Holding better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大规模的内幕买入,我们会更喜欢顺丰控股。在我们等着的时候,看看这个 免费的 最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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