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Tonghua Grape Wine Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600365) Shares Bounce 37% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Tonghua Grape Wine Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600365) Shares Bounce 37% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

通化葡萄酒有限公司, Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:600365)股价上涨37%,但其业务仍落后于该行业
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/10 18:04

The Tonghua Grape Wine Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600365) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 37%. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.5% isn't as attractive.

这个通化葡萄酒有限公司(上海证券交易所:600365)过去一个月,股价表现非常好,涨幅高达37%。不幸的是,尽管过去一个月表现强劲,但3.5%的全年涨幅并不那么有吸引力。

Even after such a large jump in price, when around half the companies operating in China's Beverage industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 7x, you may still consider Tonghua Grape WineLtd as an incredibly enticing stock to check out with its 2.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

即使在价格如此大幅上涨之后,当中国所在饮料行业的大约一半公司的市销率(P/S)超过7倍时,你可能仍然会认为通化葡萄酒有限公司是一只令人难以置信的诱人股票,其市盈率为2.4倍。然而,仅仅从表面上看待P/S是不明智的,因为可能会有一个解释为什么它如此有限。

See our latest analysis for Tonghua Grape WineLtd

查看我们对通化葡萄酒有限公司的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600365 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 10th 2023
上海证交所:600365市销率与行业2023年10月10日

What Does Tonghua Grape WineLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

通化葡萄酒业有限公司最近的表现如何?

The revenue growth achieved at Tonghua Grape WineLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

通化葡萄酒有限公司去年实现的收入增长对大多数公司来说都是可以接受的。或许市场预期这一可接受的营收表现将大幅跳水,这令市盈率/S受到压制。如果这一点没有实现,那么现有股东有理由对未来股价的走势持乐观态度。

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our
我们没有分析师的预测,但您可以通过查看我们的
free
免费
report on Tonghua Grape WineLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通化葡萄酒有限公司的收益、收入和现金流报告。

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

收入预测是否符合较低的市盈率?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tonghua Grape WineLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

为了证明其市盈率与S的比率是合理的,通化葡萄酒有限公司需要大幅落后于行业的增长乏力。

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 37% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

首先回顾一下,我们看到该公司去年的收入增长了令人印象深刻的30%。在最近三年中,得益于其短期表现,该公司的整体收入也实现了37%的出色增长。因此,我们可以从确认该公司在这段时间内在收入增长方面做得很好开始。

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

将最近的中期营收趋势与该行业18%的一年增长预期进行比较,就会发现它的吸引力明显下降。

In light of this, it's understandable that Tonghua Grape WineLtd's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

有鉴于此,通化葡萄酒有限公司的P/S排名低于其他大多数公司也是可以理解的。似乎大多数投资者都预计,最近有限的增长率将持续到未来,他们只愿意为该股支付较低的价格。

The Bottom Line On Tonghua Grape WineLtd's P/S

通化葡萄酒有限公司P/S的底线

Even after such a strong price move, Tonghua Grape WineLtd's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

即使在如此强劲的价格变动之后,通化葡萄酒有限公司的P/S仍然落后于行业其他公司。仅仅用市销率来决定你是否应该出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成为公司未来前景的实用指南。

Our examination of Tonghua Grape WineLtd confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

我们对通化葡萄酒有限公司的调查证实,该公司过去三年的收入趋势是其低性价比的关键因素,正如我们怀疑的那样,因为它们没有达到当前行业的预期。目前,股东们正在接受S的低市盈率,因为他们承认,未来的收入可能不会带来任何令人愉快的惊喜。除非近期的中期状况有所改善,否则将继续在这些水平附近形成股价障碍。

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Tonghua Grape WineLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

你应该时刻考虑风险。举个例子,我们发现通化葡萄酒有限公司的2个警示标志你应该意识到,其中有1个是不容忽视的。

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

如果强大的盈利公司激起了你的想象力,那么你就会想要看看这个。免费市盈率较低(但已证明它们可以增加收益)的有趣公司名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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