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Is Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd (SHSE:603378) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd (SHSE:603378) Using Too Much Debt?

Asia Cuanon Technology(上海)有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:603378)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/28 18:44

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai) Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603378) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理Li·Lu曾说过,最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。当你考察一家公司的风险有多大时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为当一家企业倒闭时,债务往往会涉及到它。重要的是亚冠科技(上海)有限公司(上海证券交易所:603378)确实背负着债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是一个担忧吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为一个真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是用自己的现金流。如果情况真的变得很糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司利用债务为增长提供资金,没有任何负面后果。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先同时考虑现金和债务水平。

View our latest analysis for Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd

查看我们对亚冠科技(上海)有限公司的最新分析

What Is Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's Net Debt?

亚冠科技(上海)有限公司的净债务是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd had CN¥1.97b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥313.9m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.66b.

下面的图表显示,2023年6月,亚冠科技(上海)有限公司的债务为19.7亿元人民币,与前一年大致相同。你可以点击查看更多细节。另一方面,它拥有3.139亿加元的现金,导致净债务约为16.6亿加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603378 Debt to Equity History September 28th 2023
上证综指:603378债转股历史2023年9月28日

A Look At Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's Liabilities

亚冠科技(上海)有限公司负债情况一瞥

The latest balance sheet data shows that Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd had liabilities of CN¥4.36b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥820.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥313.9m in cash and CN¥2.45b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.41b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,亚冠科技(上海)有限公司有43.6亿元人民币的负债在一年内到期,8.206亿元的负债在一年内到期。作为抵消,它有3.139亿加元的现金和24.5亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额为人民币24.1亿元,比现金和近期应收账款加起来还要多。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥3.92b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

与其39.2亿元的市值相比,这一赤字是相当可观的,因此这确实表明,股东应该密切关注亚冠科技(上海)有限公司的债务使用情况。如果它的贷款人要求它支撑资产负债表,股东可能会面临严重的稀释。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们通过查看公司的净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA),并计算其息税前收益(EBIT)覆盖利息支出(利息覆盖)的容易程度,来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力的关系。这种方法的优点是,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(净债务与EBITDA之比),也考虑了与债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

Weak interest cover of 0.79 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.7 hit our confidence in Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. However, the silver lining was that Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd achieved a positive EBIT of CN¥71m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

0.79倍的疲弱利息覆盖率和8.7的令人不安的高净债务与EBITDA比率打击了我们对亚洲宽农科技(上海)有限公司的信心,就像对肠子的一击。这里的债务负担是巨大的。然而,一线希望是,亚冠科技(上海)有限公司在过去12个月实现了7100万元的正息税前利润,较前一年的亏损有所改善。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但决定亚冠科技(上海)有限公司未来保持健康资产负债表的能力,最重要的是未来的收益。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,有必要检查一下息税前收益(EBIT)中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。令所有股东感到高兴的是,亚冠科技(上海)有限公司去年产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。这种强劲的现金转换让我们像傻朋克演唱会上节奏下降时的观众一样兴奋。

Our View

我们的观点

Neither Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

无论是亚洲夸农科技(上海)有限公司用息税前利润来支付利息支出的能力,还是其对EBITDA的净债务,都没有让我们对其承担更多债务的能力产生信心。但它将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的情况则截然不同,并表明它具有一定的韧性。综上所述,在我们看来,由于亚冠科技(上海)有限公司的债务,它确实是一项有一定风险的投资。这不一定是一件坏事,因为杠杆可以提高股本回报率,但这是需要注意的。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。我们已经确定了4个警告信号与亚冠科技(上海)有限公司合作(至少有一项涉及),了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来看看我们的净现金成长型股票独家名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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