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Wanjia Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:401) 34% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Wanjia Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:401) 34% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

万家集团控股有限公司(HKG: 401)34%的股价暴跌可能预示着一些风险
Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/02 18:09

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Wanjia Group Holdings Limited (HKG:401) share price has dived 34% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 40% in that time.

不幸的是,对于一些股东来说,万家集团控股有限公司(HKG:401)股价在过去30天里暴跌34%,延续了最近的痛苦。过去30天的下跌为股东们艰难的一年画上了句号,股价在此期间下跌了40%。

Even after such a large drop in price, Wanjia Group Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.6x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

即使在股价下跌如此之大之后,万家集团控股28.6倍的市盈率仍可能使其目前看起来是一个强劲的抛售市场。在香港,大约一半的公司的市盈率低于9倍,甚至低于5倍的市盈率也很常见。然而,市盈率可能相当高是有原因的,需要进一步调查才能确定它是否合理。

For example, consider that Wanjia Group Holdings' financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as earnings growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the benign earnings growth will improve to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

例如,考虑到万家集团控股最近的财务表现相当普通,因为盈利增长是不存在的。一种可能性是,市盈率之所以高,是因为投资者认为,在不久的将来,良性的收益增长将改善,表现优于大盘。你真的希望如此,否则你会无缘无故地付出相当大的代价。

See our latest analysis for Wanjia Group Holdings

查看我们对万家集团控股的最新分析

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:401 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 2nd 2023
联交所:401市盈率与行业2023年8月2日
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
想要了解公司的收益、收入和现金流的全貌吗?那么我们的
free
免费
report on Wanjia Group Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
万家集团控股的报道将帮助你了解其历史业绩。

Is There Enough Growth For Wanjia Group Holdings?

万家集团控股有足够的增长吗?

Wanjia Group Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

对于一家预计将实现非常强劲增长的公司来说,万家集团控股的市盈率将是典型的,而且重要的是,它的表现远远好于市场。

If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. The longer-term trend has been no better as the company has no earnings growth to show for over the last three years either. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.

如果我们回顾一下去年的收益,该公司公布的结果与一年前几乎没有任何偏离。更长期的趋势也好不到哪里去,因为该公司在过去三年里也没有盈利增长。因此,股东们可能不会对完全没有中期增长感到满意。

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

将最近的中期收益轨迹与大盘一年增长25%的预测进行比较,结果显示,按年率计算,它的吸引力明显下降。

With this information, we find it concerning that Wanjia Group Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

有了这些信息,我们发现万佳集团控股的市盈率高于大盘。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近的情况所显示的要乐观得多,不愿以任何价格抛售他们的股票。只有最大胆的人才会认为这些价格是可持续的,因为最近盈利趋势的延续最终可能会对股价造成沉重压力。

The Key Takeaway

关键的外卖

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Wanjia Group Holdings' very lofty P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

股价的大幅跳水对万家控股非常高的市盈率几乎没有起到什么作用。虽然市盈率不应该成为你是否买入一只股票的决定性因素,但它是一个很好的盈利预期晴雨表。

We've established that Wanjia Group Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我们已经确定,万家集团目前的市盈率远高于预期,因为其最近三年的增长低于更广泛的市场预测。当我们看到盈利疲软、增长慢于市场增长时,我们怀疑股价有下跌的风险,导致高市盈率下降。除非最近的中期状况明显改善,否则要接受这些价格是合理的是非常具有挑战性的。

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Wanjia Group Holdings (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

还有其他重要的风险因素需要考虑,我们发现万家集团控股的3个警告信号(1是关于!)在这里投资之前你应该意识到这一点。

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

如果你对市盈率感兴趣,你可能想看看这个免费其他盈利增长强劲、市盈率较低的公司的集合。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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