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VIX Breaks Below 14 For First Time In Over 3 Years: What That Means For The Market

VIX Breaks Below 14 For First Time In Over 3 Years: What That Means For The Market

VIX 3年多来首次跌破14:这对市场意味着什么
Benzinga ·  2023/06/07 04:50

The CBOE Volatility Index, popularly known as the VIX, settled below the 14 mark for the first time in more than three years.

这个 CBOE 波动率指数, 俗称 VIX, 三年多来首次跌破14大关。

What Happened: The VIX is one of the most commonly used measures of market sentiment and it is often used by traders as a tool for assessing risk. The VIX tracks the S&P options market, where traders bet on the future direction of the index.

发生了什么: VIX是衡量市场情绪的最常用指标之一,它经常被交易者用作评估风险的工具。VIX追踪标准普尔期权市场,交易者押注该指数的未来走向。

A rising VIX suggests professional traders are betting on wild swings in the S&P 50 Index. On the contrary, a falling VIX reflects their expectations of relatively smaller moves and consequently a calmer market.

VIX指数的上涨表明专业交易者押注标准普尔50指数的剧烈波动。相反,VIX的下跌反映了他们对相对较小变动从而使市场趋于平静的预期。

The ProShares Trust VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF (BATS:VIXM), an exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures Index, which measures the returns of a portfolio of monthly VIX futures contracts, ended Tuesday's session at $22.59, down 3.67%, according to Benzinga Pro data. This marked its lowest level since March 2020.

这个 ProShares Trust VIX 中期期货 ET (BATS: VIXM),一家追踪... 的交易所交易基金 标准普尔500指数VIX中期货指数, 根据Benzinga Pro的数据,衡量VIX月度期货合约投资组合回报率的指标周二收于22.59美元,下跌3.67%。这是自2020年3月以来的最低水平。

Source: Benzinga Pro

来源:Benzinga Pro

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Analyst's Take: The VIX remained above the 14 levels for about three years and two months. Carson Group analyst Ryan Detrick said the previous longest streak the VIX was above the "14" mark was five, plus, years that ended on Aug. 13, 2012.

分析师的看法: VIX在大约三年零两个月的时间里一直保持在14水平以上。卡森集团分析师瑞安·德特里克表示,此前VIX突破 “14” 大关的最长连胜纪录是截至2012年8月13日的五年多。

He noted that after that sub-14 print in 2012, the S&P 500 Index gained 18.3% over the next year.

他指出,在2012年低于14指数之后,标准普尔500指数在第二年上涨了18.3%。

The VIX closed beneath 14 for the first time in more than 3 years today.
Longest streak above 14 since 5 plus yrs ending 8/13/12.
Did you know the S&P 500 gained 18.3% the next year after that sub-14 print back then?
Yeah, low volatility isn't always a bad thing.

â€" Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) June 7, 2023

今天,VIX指数三年多来首次收于14以下。
自 2012 年 8 月 13 日结束的 5 年多以来最长的连胜纪录超过 14。
你知道标准普尔500指数在当年低于14指数之后第二年上涨了18.3%吗?
是的,低波动率并不总是一件坏事。

a€” Ryan Detrick,CMT (@RyanDetrick) 2023 年 6 月 7 日

The VIX has since then moved back above the 14 levels and traded up 2.08% at 14.25.

此后,VIX已回升至14水平以上,交易价格上涨2.08%,至14.25。

Tuesday's move below 14 suggests market participants are less concerned about the future direction of the market.

周二跌破14表明市场参与者对市场未来走向的担忧较少。

Despite the uncertainties surrounding interest rates and recession, key market gauges have remained resilient in recent sessions. The S&P 500 Index ended Tuesday's session at 4.283.85, its highest closing since Aug. 16, 2022.

尽管围绕利率和经济衰退存在不确定性,但关键市场指标在最近几个交易日仍然具有弹性。标准普尔500指数周二收于4.283.85,为2022年8月16日以来的最高收盘价。

Read Next: The VIX Prints Reversal Candlestick Amid Key Discussions On Debt Ceiling: A Technical Analysis

继续阅读:在关于债务上限的关键讨论中,VIX公布了反转蜡烛图:技术分析

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