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China Shenshan Orchard Holdings Co. Ltd. (SGX:BKV) Soars 46% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

China Shenshan Orchard Holdings Co. Ltd. (SGX:BKV) Soars 46% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

中国神山果园控股有限公司Ltd.(SGX: BKV)飙升46%,但这是一个关于风险与回报的故事
Simply Wall St ·  2023/03/08 17:28

China Shenshan Orchard Holdings Co. Ltd. (SGX:BKV) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 46% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 10% over that time.

中国神山果园控股有限公司有限公司 (SGX: BKV) 的股价经历了非常令人印象深刻的一个月,在经历了不稳定的时期之后上涨了46%。不幸的是,上个月的涨势并没有弥补去年的亏损,该股在此期间仍下跌了10%。

In spite of the firm bounce in price, China Shenshan Orchard Holdings may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.9x, since almost half of all companies in Singapore have P/E ratios greater than 12x and even P/E's higher than 19x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

尽管价格大幅反弹,但中国神山奥查德控股目前可能仍在发出看涨信号,其市盈率(或 “市盈率”)为5.9倍,因为新加坡几乎有一半的公司的市盈率超过12倍,甚至市盈率高于19倍也并不罕见。但是,仅按面值来看待市盈率是不明智的,因为市盈率有限可能是有原因的。

For instance, China Shenshan Orchard Holdings' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

例如,中国神山果园控股近期收益的下滑值得深思。一种可能性是市盈率很低,因为投资者认为该公司在避免在不久的将来表现不佳大盘方面做得还不够。如果你喜欢这家公司,你会希望情况并非如此,这样你就有可能在它失宠的时候买入一些股票。

See our latest analysis for China Shenshan Orchard Holdings

查看我们对中国神山果园控股的最新分析

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SGX:BKV Price Based on Past Earnings March 8th 2023
SGX: BKV 价格基于过去的 2023 年 3 月 8 日财报
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
想全面了解公司的收益、收入和现金流吗?然后我们的
free
免费的
report on China Shenshan Orchard Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
关于中国神山果园控股的报告将帮助您了解其历史表现。

How Is China Shenshan Orchard Holdings' Growth Trending?

中国神山果园控股的增长趋势如何?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, China Shenshan Orchard Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

为了证明其市盈率是合理的,中国神山果园控股需要实现落后于市场的缓慢增长。

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 36%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

先回头看,该公司去年的每股收益增长并不令人兴奋,因为该公司公布了令人失望的36%的跌幅。由于较早的增长时期,至少每股收益总体上没有与三年前相比完全倒退。因此,可以公平地说,该公司的收益增长最近一直不一致。

It's interesting to note that the rest of the market is similarly expected to grow by 1.8% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

有趣的是,预计其他市场将在明年增长1.8%,这与该公司最近的中期年化增长率相当持平。

In light of this, it's peculiar that China Shenshan Orchard Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are more bearish than recent times would indicate and have been accepting lower selling prices.

有鉴于此,奇怪的是,中国神山果园控股的市盈率低于大多数其他公司。显然,一些股东的看跌程度比最近所显示的要悲观,他们一直在接受较低的销售价格。

The Bottom Line On China Shenshan Orchard Holdings' P/E

中国神山果园控股市盈率的底线

China Shenshan Orchard Holdings' stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

中国神山果园控股的股票本来可能得到了强劲的提振,但其市盈率肯定没有达到任何高度。虽然市盈率不应该是决定你是否买入股票的决定性因素,但它是衡量收益预期的有力晴雨表。

Our examination of China Shenshan Orchard Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

我们对中国神山果园控股的审查显示,其三年收益趋势对其市盈率的贡献没有我们预期的那么大,因为它们看起来与当前的市场预期相似。当我们看到平均收益具有类似市场的增长时,我们认为潜在的风险可能会给市盈率带来压力。看来有些人确实在预测收益会出现不稳定,因为这些近期中期状况的持续通常会为股价提供更多支撑。

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with China Shenshan Orchard Holdings (including 1 which is significant).

另外,你还应该了解这些 我们在中国神山果园控股公司发现了三个警告信号 (包括重要的 1)。

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than China Shenshan Orchard Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

当然, 你也许还能找到比中国神山果园控股更好的股票。所以你可能希望看到这个 免费的 其他市盈率低于20倍且收益强劲增长的公司的集合。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。

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