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Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000096) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000096) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

深圳光聚能源股份有限公司(SZSE:000096)的股票正在飙升,但财务数据似乎不一致:这种上涨趋势是否会继续?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/09 22:23

Shenzhen Guangju Energy (SZSE:000096) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 24% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shenzhen Guangju Energy's ROE today.

深圳光聚能源(深圳证券交易所股票代码:000096)在过去三个月中股价大幅上涨了24%。但该公司的关键财务指标似乎在所有方面都不同,这让我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头能否保持下去。特别是今天我们将关注深圳光聚能源的净资产收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率(ROE)是用来评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。换句话说,它揭示了该公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Guangju Energy

查看我们对深圳光聚能源的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

这个净资产收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Guangju Energy is:

因此,根据上述公式,深圳光聚能源的净资产收益率为:

2.3% = CN¥67m ÷ CN¥2.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

2.3%=人民币6700万×人民币29亿元(以截至2022年3月的12个月为基础)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.02.

“回报”指的是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。因此,这意味着股东每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.02元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

净资产收益率与盈利增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们了解到净资产收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指标。我们现在需要评估公司将多少利润再投资或“保留”用于未来的增长,这就让我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般来说,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存较高的公司比不具备这些特征的公司有更高的增长率。

Shenzhen Guangju Energy's Earnings Growth And 2.3% ROE

深圳光聚能源盈利增长2.3%净资产收益率

As you can see, Shenzhen Guangju Energy's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 15%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 22% seen by Shenzhen Guangju Energy was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

如你所见,深圳光聚能源的净资产收益率看起来相当疲软。即使与行业平均15%的净资产收益率相比,该公司的净资产收益率也相当惨淡。因此,说深圳光聚能源五年净收益下降22%可能是因为它的净资产收益率较低,这可能是没有错的。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的收益前景产生负面影响。例如-低收益留存或资本分配不佳。

However, when we compared Shenzhen Guangju Energy's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 15% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将深圳光聚能源的增长与行业进行比较时发现,在公司盈利一直在缩水的同时,行业同期的盈利增长了15%。这相当令人担忧。

SZSE:000096 Past Earnings Growth June 10th 2022
上交所:过去000096的收益增长2022年6月10日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shenzhen Guangju Energy is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是知道市场是否已经消化了公司预期的收益增长(或下降)。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是将进入清澈的蓝色水域,还是等待沼泽水域。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据一只股票的盈利前景决定市场愿意为其支付的价格。因此,你可能想看看深圳光聚能源相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Shenzhen Guangju Energy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

深圳光聚能源是否有效利用了利润?

Shenzhen Guangju Energy's low three-year median payout ratio of 9.1% (or a retention ratio of 91%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

深圳光聚能源过去三年的派息率中值较低,为9.1%(或留存比率为91%),这应该意味着该公司将保留大部分收益来推动增长,但该公司的收益实际上已经缩水。较低的派息应该意味着该公司保留了大部分收益,因此应该会看到一些增长。看起来可能还有其他一些原因来解释这方面的缺乏。例如,这项业务可能正在衰落。

Moreover, Shenzhen Guangju Energy has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,深圳光聚能源至少在十年或更长时间里一直在分红,这表明管理层肯定已经意识到,股东更喜欢分红,而不是盈利增长。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shenzhen Guangju Energy. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 5 risks we have identified for Shenzhen Guangju Energy.

总体而言,我们对深圳光聚能源的感受复杂。虽然该公司的利润留存率确实很高,但其低回报率可能正在阻碍其收益增长。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是查看业务的风险概况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为深圳光聚能源确定的5个风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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