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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Hangzhou Cable (SHSE:603618) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Hangzhou Cable (SHSE:603618) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

在过去三年中,正的收益增长不足以让杭州电缆(SHSE: 603618)股东获得丰厚的回报
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 20:56

Hangzhou Cable Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603618) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 13% in the last week. It's not great that the stock is down over the last three years. But that's not so bad when you consider its market is down 17%.

杭州电缆股份有限公司(SHSE: 603618)的股东应该很高兴看到上周股价上涨了13%。该股在过去三年中下跌并不是一件好事。但是,考虑到其市场下跌了17%,这还不错。

While the stock has risen 13% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

尽管该股在过去一周上涨了13%,但长期股东仍处于亏损状态,但让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Hangzhou Cable actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 15% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

在不幸的三年股价下跌中,杭州电缆的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年增长15%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益并不能很好地指导该期间的业务表现(可能是由于一次性的亏损或收益)。否则,该公司过去曾被过度炒作,因此其增长令人失望。

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

With a rather small yield of just 1.2% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. Revenue is actually up 4.7% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Hangzhou Cable more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

由于收益率相当低,仅为1.2%,我们怀疑该股的股价是否基于其股息。在过去的三年中,收入实际上增长了4.7%,因此股价下跌似乎也不取决于收入。这种分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得对杭州有线进行更仔细的研究,因为有时股市会不公平地下跌。这可能带来机会。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603618 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 30th 2024
SHSE: 603618 收益和收入增长 2024 年 4 月 30 日

Take a more thorough look at Hangzhou Cable's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通过这份免费的资产负债表报告,更全面地了解杭州有线的财务状况。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Hangzhou Cable, it has a TSR of -15% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。以杭州电缆为例,在过去三年中,其股东总回报率为-15%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Although it hurts that Hangzhou Cable returned a loss of 9.7% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 13%. Given the total loss of 2% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hangzhou Cable better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hangzhou Cable (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

尽管杭州电缆在过去十二个月中回报了9.7%的亏损令人痛心,但整个市场实际上更糟,亏损了13%。鉴于五年来每年的总损失为2%,在过去的十二个月中,回报似乎有所恶化。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解杭州电缆,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。为此,你应该了解我们在杭州有线电视上发现的两个警告标志(包括一个不容忽视的警告)。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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