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Here's Why Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

这就是宝洁(纽约证券交易所代码:PG)可以负责任地管理债务的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 06:58

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。与许多其他公司一样,宝洁公司(纽约证券交易所代码:PG)也使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Procter & Gamble's Net Debt?

宝洁公司的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Procter & Gamble had debt of US$32.0b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from US$36.6b over a year. However, it also had US$6.83b in cash, and so its net debt is US$25.2b.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年3月底,宝洁公司的债务为320亿美元,较上一年的366亿美元有所减少。但是,它也有68.3亿美元的现金,因此其净负债为252亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:PG Debt to Equity History April 26th 2024
纽约证券交易所:PG 债务与股本比率历史记录 2024 年 4 月 26 日

How Strong Is Procter & Gamble's Balance Sheet?

宝洁公司的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Procter & Gamble had liabilities of US$32.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$36.9b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$6.83b in cash and US$6.12b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$56.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,宝洁公司在12个月内到期的负债为323亿美元,在此之后到期的负债为369亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有68.3亿美元的现金和61.2亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出563亿美元。

Since publicly traded Procter & Gamble shares are worth a very impressive total of US$383.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由于公开交易的宝洁公司股票总价值高达3836亿美元,令人印象深刻,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。

Procter & Gamble's net debt is only 1.0 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 46.2 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that Procter & Gamble grew its EBIT by 15% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Procter & Gamble can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

宝洁公司的净负债仅为其息税折旧摊销前利润的1.0倍。而且其息税前利润很容易弥补其利息支出,是其规模的46.2倍。因此,你可以争辩说,它受到债务的威胁并不比大象受到老鼠的威胁更大。我们还热烈地注意到,宝洁公司去年的息税前利润增长了15%,使其债务负担更易于处理。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定宝洁公司能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Procter & Gamble produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 72% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是研究息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去三年中,宝洁公司产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的72%,与我们的预期差不多。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Procter & Gamble's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Zooming out, Procter & Gamble seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Procter & Gamble that you should be aware of before investing here.

宝洁公司的利息保障表明,它可以像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多在对阵14岁以下的守门员的比赛中进球一样轻松地处理债务。这仅仅是好消息的开始,因为将息税前利润转换为自由现金流也非常令人鼓舞。缩小规模,宝洁公司似乎相当合理地使用债务;这得到了我们的点头。虽然债务确实会带来风险,但如果明智地使用,它也可以带来更高的股本回报率。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们发现了宝洁公司的1个警告信号,在这里投资之前,你应该注意这个信号。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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