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Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Huizhou Desay SV Automotive (SZSE:002920)

Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Huizhou Desay SV Automotive (SZSE:002920)

稳健的收益可能无法说明惠州德赛西威汽车(SZSE:002920)的全部情况
Simply Wall St ·  04/25 18:07

The market shrugged off Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002920) solid earnings report. Our analysis showed that there are some concerning factors in the earnings that investors may be cautious of.

市场对惠州德赛西威汽车有限公司不屑一顾。”s (SZSE: 002920) 稳健的收益报告。我们的分析表明,收益中存在一些令人担忧的因素,投资者可能会谨慎行事。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002920 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024
SZSE: 002920 2024 年 4 月 25 日的收益和收入历史记录

Zooming In On Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's Earnings

放大惠州德赛西威汽车的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Huizhou Desay SV Automotive recorded an accrual ratio of 0.22. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥1.60b, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥107m in the last year. We also note that Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥107m.

在截至2024年3月的十二个月中,惠州德赛西威汽车的应计比率为0.22。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。尽管该公司公布了16.0亿元人民币的利润,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了1.07亿元人民币。我们还注意到,惠州德赛西威汽车去年的自由现金流实际上也为负数,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其1.07亿元人民币的流出所困扰。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's Profit Performance

我们对惠州德赛西威汽车盈利表现的看法

Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Huizhou Desay SV Automotive as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Huizhou Desay SV Automotive (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).

惠州德赛西威汽车过去十二个月的应计比率表明现金转换率不理想,从我们对收益的看法来看,这是负数。因此,在我们看来,惠州德赛西威汽车的真正潜在盈利能力实际上可能低于其法定利润。但好的一面是,其每股收益在过去三年中以极其惊人的速度增长。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。如果您想进一步了解惠州德赛西威汽车作为一家企业,请务必了解其面临的任何风险。为此,你应该了解我们在惠州德赛西威汽车上发现的两个警告标志(包括一个不容忽视的警示标志)。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

本报告仅研究了揭示惠州德赛西威汽车利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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