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Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media (SHSE:601928) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media (SHSE:601928) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

江苏凤凰出版传媒(SHSE: 601928)似乎相当谨慎地使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 02:43

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation Limited (SHSE:601928) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到,江苏凤凰出版传媒股份有限公司(SHSE: 601928)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会变得有风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但成本仍然很高)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可能是一个非常好的工具。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's Debt?

江苏凤凰出版传媒的债务是多少?

As you can see below, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media had CN¥161.4m of debt at December 2023, down from CN¥176.2m a year prior. But it also has CN¥3.14b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.98b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,江苏凤凰出版传媒的债务为1.614亿元人民币,低于去年同期的1.762亿加元。但它也有31.4亿元的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它的净现金为29.8亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601928 Debt to Equity History April 24th 2024
SHSE: 601928 2024 年 4 月 24 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's Balance Sheet?

江苏凤凰出版传媒的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media had liabilities of CN¥10.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.33b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.14b as well as receivables valued at CN¥748.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥8.03b.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,江苏凤凰出版传媒的负债为106亿元人民币,12个月以后到期的负债为13.3亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有31.4亿元人民币的现金以及价值7.482亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额80.3亿元人民币。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media has a market capitalization of CN¥26.7b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为江苏凤凰出版传媒的市值为267亿元人民币,因此如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强资产负债表。但是,我们绝对希望留意其债务带来过大风险的迹象。尽管它确实有值得注意的负债,但江苏凤凰出版传媒的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。

Also positive, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media grew its EBIT by 23% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

同样乐观的是,江苏凤凰出版传媒去年其息税前利润增长了23%,这将使未来更容易偿还债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定江苏凤凰出版传媒能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。江苏凤凰出版传媒的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。令所有股东感到高兴的是,在过去三年中,江苏凤凰出版传媒产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。这种强劲的现金产生像穿着大黄蜂套装的小狗一样温暖着我们的心。

Summing Up

总结

While Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥2.98b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥2.1b, being 137% of its EBIT. So is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管江苏凤凰出版传媒的负债确实超过了流动资产,但其净现金也为29.8亿元人民币。它以21亿元人民币的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻的印象,占其息税前利润的137%。那么江苏凤凰出版传媒的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经向江苏凤凰出版传媒确定了两个警告信号(至少有一个有点令人担忧),了解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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