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Investors in J&J Snack Foods (NASDAQ:JJSF) Have Unfortunately Lost 12% Over the Last Three Years

Investors in J&J Snack Foods (NASDAQ:JJSF) Have Unfortunately Lost 12% Over the Last Three Years

不幸的是,强生休闲食品(纳斯达克股票代码:JJSF)的投资者在过去三年中损失了12%
Simply Wall St ·  04/22 07:02

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term J&J Snack Foods Corp. (NASDAQ:JJSF) shareholders, since the share price is down 17% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 12%. In the last ninety days we've seen the share price slide 17%.

作为投资者,值得努力确保您的整体投资组合超过市场平均水平。但几乎可以肯定的是,有时候你会买入低于市场平均回报率的股票。不幸的是,强生休闲食品公司(纳斯达克股票代码:JJSF)的长期股东就是这种情况,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了17%,远低于12%左右的市场回报率。在过去的九十天里,我们看到股价下跌了17%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Although the share price is down over three years, J&J Snack Foods actually managed to grow EPS by 195% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管股价在三年内下跌,但强生休闲食品实际上设法在那段时间内每年将每股收益增长195%。这真是个难题,表明可能会有一些东西暂时提振股价。或者,过去的增长预期可能不合理。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得一看其他指标,因为每股收益的增长似乎与股价的下跌不符。

We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 16% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching J&J Snack Foods more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

我们注意到,在三年内,收入实际上以16%的年增长率增长,因此这似乎不是出售股票的理由。这种分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得更仔细地研究强生休闲食品,因为有时股票会不公平地下跌。这可能带来机会。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:JJSF Earnings and Revenue Growth April 22nd 2024
纳斯达克GS:JJSF收益和收入增长 2024年4月22日

It is of course excellent to see how J&J Snack Foods has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on J&J Snack Foods' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

看到强生休闲食品多年来如何增加利润当然是件好事,但未来对股东来说更为重要。如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于强生休闲食品资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of J&J Snack Foods, it has a TSR of -12% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。就强生休闲食品而言,其股东回报率在过去3年中为-12%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 21% in the last year, J&J Snack Foods shareholders lost 7.5% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 0.8% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. Before spending more time on J&J Snack Foods it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

尽管去年整体市场上涨了约21%,但强生休闲食品的股东损失了7.5%(甚至包括股息)。即使是优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于感兴趣之前看到企业基本指标的改善。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内每年面临0.8%的总亏损。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。在花更多时间购买强生休闲食品之前,明智的做法可能是点击此处查看内部人士是否在买入或卖出股票。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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