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Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric (HKG:3898) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric (HKG:3898) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

株洲中车时代电气(HKG: 3898)似乎相当谨慎地使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  04/21 21:33

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (HKG:3898) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,株洲中车时代电气有限公司(HKG: 3898)确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以用新资本或自由现金流还清债务。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可能是一个非常好的工具。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先将现金和债务水平放在一起考虑。

What Is Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's Debt?

株洲中车时代电气的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric had CN¥1.12b of debt, an increase on CN¥551.1m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥13.8b in cash, leading to a CN¥12.7b net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年12月,株洲中车时代电气在一年内有11.2亿元人民币的债务,比5.51亿元人民币的债务有所增加。但另一方面,它也有138亿元人民币的现金,净现金状况为127亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:3898 Debt to Equity History April 22nd 2024
SEHK: 3898 2024 年 4 月 22 日债务与股本的比率记录

A Look At Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's Liabilities

看看株洲中车时代电气的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric had liabilities of CN¥13.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.26b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥13.8b and CN¥17.1b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥15.3b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,株洲中车时代电气在12个月内到期的负债为134亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为22.6亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为138亿元人民币,还有价值171亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出153亿元人民币 负债。

This surplus suggests that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种盈余表明,株洲中车时代电气正在以看似既安全又保守的方式使用债务。鉴于它很容易获得足够的短期流动性,我们认为其贷款机构不会有任何问题。简而言之,株洲中车时代电气拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

And we also note warmly that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric grew its EBIT by 17% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我们还热烈地注意到,株洲中车时代电气去年的息税前利润增长了17%,使其债务负担更易于处理。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益将决定株洲中车时代电气未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's free cash flow amounted to 31% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。株洲中车时代电气的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,株洲中车时代电气的自由现金流占其息税前利润的31%,低于我们的预期。这种疲软的现金转换使得处理债务变得更加困难。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric has net cash of CN¥12.7b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 17% over the last year. So is Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's earnings per share history for free.

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,株洲中车时代电气的净现金为127亿元人民币,流动资产比负债还多。它的息税前利润比去年增长了17%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。那么株洲中车时代电气的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。除了大多数其他指标外,我们认为追踪每股收益的增长速度非常重要。如果你也意识到了这一点,那你很幸运,因为今天你可以免费查看这张株洲中车时代电气每股收益历史的互动图。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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