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China Ruyi Holdings' (HKG:136) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

China Ruyi Holdings' (HKG:136) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

中国如意控股(HKG: 136)股东需要担心的不仅仅是疲软的收益
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 21:03

The subdued market reaction suggests that China Ruyi Holdings Limited's (HKG:136) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

市场反应疲软,表明中国如意控股有限公司(HKG: 136)最近的收益没有任何意外。我们的分析表明,除了疲软的利润数字外,投资者还应意识到这些数字中的其他一些潜在弱点。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:136 Earnings and Revenue History April 19th 2024
SEHK: 136 2024 年 4 月 19 日的收益和收入记录

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. China Ruyi Holdings expanded the number of shares on issue by 16% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out China Ruyi Holdings' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

评估收益质量的一个重要方面是研究一家公司在多大程度上稀释了股东。中国如意控股去年将已发行股票数量增加了16%。因此,每股现在获得的利润比例较小。每股收益等每股指标可以帮助我们了解实际股东从公司的利润中受益的程度,而净收入水平则使我们能够更好地了解公司的绝对规模。点击此链接,查看中国如意控股的历史每股收益增长。

A Look At The Impact Of China Ruyi Holdings' Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

看看中国如意控股的稀释对其每股收益(EPS)的影响

As you can see above, China Ruyi Holdings has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 5,637% over three years. But EPS was only up 4,293% per year, in the exact same period. Net income was down 13% over the last twelve months. But the EPS result was even worse, with the company recording a decline of 22%. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

如上所示,中国如意控股在过去几年中一直在增长其净收入,三年内年化收益为5,637%。但是在同一时期,每股收益每年仅增长4,293%。在过去的十二个月中,净收入下降了13%。但是每股收益的业绩甚至更糟,该公司下降了22%。因此,你可以清楚地看到稀释正在影响股东收益。

In the long term, if China Ruyi Holdings' earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

从长远来看,如果中国如意控股的收益 每股 可以上涨,那么股价也应该上涨。但是,如果其利润增加而每股收益保持不变(甚至下降),那么股东可能看不到太多好处。出于这个原因,你可以说从长远来看,每股收益比净收入更重要,前提是目标是评估公司的股价是否可能上涨。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted China Ruyi Holdings' net profit by CN¥241m over the last year. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that China Ruyi Holdings' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

最后,我们还应该考虑这样一个事实,即不寻常的项目使中国如意控股的净利润比去年增加了2.41亿元人民币。虽然获得更高的利润总是件好事,但来自不寻常物品的巨额捐款有时会抑制我们的热情。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。这正如你所预料的那样,因为这些增强被描述为 “不寻常”。我们可以看到,截至2023年12月的一年中,中国如意控股的正面不寻常项目相对于其利润相当可观。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润成为衡量潜在盈利能力的不良指导。

Our Take On China Ruyi Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对中国如意控股盈利表现的看法

To sum it all up, China Ruyi Holdings got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at China Ruyi Holdings' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 3 warning signs for China Ruyi Holdings and we think they deserve your attention.

总而言之,中国如意控股从不寻常的项目中获得了不错的利润提振;如果没有这一点,其法定业绩就会变得更糟。此外,它还发行了大量新股,确保每位股东(没有投入更多资金)现在拥有公司较小比例的股份。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼中国如意控股的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,那么考虑它面临的任何风险至关重要。在Simply Wall St,我们发现了中国如意控股的3个警告标志,我们认为它们值得你关注。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在本文中,我们研究了许多可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但是,还有很多其他方法可以告知你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率表明商业经济状况良好,而另一些人则喜欢 “追随资金”,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这批拥有高股本回报率的免费公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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