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There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's (SHSE:603055) Earnings

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's (SHSE:603055) Earnings

浙江泰华新材料有限公司(SHSE: 603055)收益的质量可能存在潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  04/15 02:32

Unsurprisingly, Zhejiang Taihua New Material Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603055) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

不出所料,浙江泰华新材料有限公司,Ltd(上海证券交易所股票代码:603055)的股价因其健康的收益报告而表现强劲。但是,我们认为股东们可能遗漏了一些与数字相关的细节。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603055 Earnings and Revenue History April 15th 2024
SHSE: 603055 2024 年 4 月 15 日的收益和收入历史记录

Examining Cashflow Against Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's Earnings

根据浙江台华新材有限公司的收益检查现金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融领域,用于衡量公司将申报的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以公司在此期间的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.30 for the year to December 2023. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥1.5b despite its profit of CN¥449.1m, mentioned above. We also note that Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥1.5b. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月的一年中,浙江泰华新材料有限公司的应计比率为0.30。因此,我们可以推断出其自由现金流远不足以支付其法定利润,这表明在对后者进行大量考虑之前,我们可能需要三思而后行。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,尽管利润为4.491亿元人民币,但流出量仍为15亿元人民币,如上所述。我们还注意到,浙江泰华新材股份有限公司去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其15亿元人民币的流出所困扰。话虽如此,故事还有更多。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥104m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

考虑到应计比率,在过去十二个月中,浙江泰华新材料有限公司的利润因价值1.04亿元人民币的不寻常项目而提振也就不足为奇了。虽然获得更高的利润总是件好事,但来自不寻常物品的巨额捐款有时会抑制我们的热情。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。假设这些不寻常的项目在本年度不会再次出现,因此我们预计明年的利润将疲软(也就是说,在业务没有增长的情况下)。

Our Take On Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's Profit Performance

我们对浙江泰华新材料有限公司盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Be aware that Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those can't be ignored...

总而言之,浙江泰华新材料有限公司从不寻常的物品中获得了不错的利润提振,但其纸面利润无法与自由现金流相提并论。考虑到所有这些,我们认为浙江泰华新材料有限公司的利润可能给人一种对其可持续盈利水平的过于宽松的印象。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。请注意,浙江泰华新材有限公司在我们的投资分析中显示了3个警告信号,其中2个不容忽视...

Our examination of Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对浙江泰华新材料有限公司的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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