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We Think Huabao International Holdings (HKG:336) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Huabao International Holdings (HKG:336) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为华宝国际控股(HKG: 336)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  04/12 19:38

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Huabao International Holdings Limited (HKG:336) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们可以看到,华宝国际控股有限公司(HKG: 336)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么债务就会任由他们摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然很痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于,它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代一家有能力以高回报率进行再投资的公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事就是综合考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Huabao International Holdings's Debt?

华宝国际控股的债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Huabao International Holdings had debt of CN¥473.8m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥677.7m over a year. But it also has CN¥6.43b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥5.96b net cash.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年12月底,华宝国际控股的债务为4.738亿元人民币,较一年6.777亿元人民币有所减少。但它也有64.3亿元的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它的净现金为59.6亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:336 Debt to Equity History April 12th 2024
SEHK: 336 2024 年 4 月 12 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

A Look At Huabao International Holdings' Liabilities

看看华宝国际控股的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Huabao International Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.38b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥348.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.43b as well as receivables valued at CN¥722.0m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥5.42b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,华宝国际控股的负债为13.8亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为3.484亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有64.3亿元人民币的现金以及价值7.22亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出54.2亿元人民币 负债。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Huabao International Holdings' balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that Huabao International Holdings has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种过剩的流动性很好地表明华宝国际控股的资产负债表几乎和诺克斯堡一样强劲。考虑到这一事实,我们认为其资产负债表像牛一样强劲。简而言之,华宝国际控股的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

In fact Huabao International Holdings's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 46% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Huabao International Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

实际上,华宝国际控股的救命之处在于其低债务水平,因为其息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了46%。在还清债务方面,收入下降对健康的作用并不比含糖的苏打水更有用。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是华宝国际控股的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Huabao International Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Huabao International Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 54% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。华宝国际控股的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,华宝国际控股产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的54%,与我们的预期差不多。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Huabao International Holdings has CN¥5.96b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't think Huabao International Holdings's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Huabao International Holdings that you should be aware of.

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在本案中,华宝国际控股的净现金为59.6亿元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。因此,我们认为华宝国际控股使用债务没有风险。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经为华宝国际控股确定了一个警告信号,你应该注意这一点。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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