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These 4 Measures Indicate That Alliant Energy (NASDAQ:LNT) Is Using Debt Extensively

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alliant Energy (NASDAQ:LNT) Is Using Debt Extensively

这4项指标表明,Alliant Energy(纳斯达克股票代码:LNT)正在广泛使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  04/11 14:13

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Alliant Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:LNT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,Alliant Energy Corporation(纳斯达克股票代码:LNT)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Alliant Energy's Debt?

Alliant Energy的债务是什么?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Alliant Energy had US$9.51b of debt, up from US$8.72b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

如下所示,截至2023年12月底,Alliant Energy的债务为95.1亿美元,高于去年同期的87.2亿美元。点击图片查看更多细节。净负债大致相同,因为它没有太多现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:LNT Debt to Equity History April 11th 2024
NASDAQGS: LNT 债券与股本的比率历史记录 2024 年 4 月 11 日

How Strong Is Alliant Energy's Balance Sheet?

Alliant Energy的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Alliant Energy had liabilities of US$2.30b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$12.2b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$62.0m and US$475.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$13.9b.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,Alliant Energy的负债为23.0亿美元,12个月以后到期的负债为122亿美元。另一方面,它有6,200万美元的现金和价值4.75亿美元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额139亿美元。

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge US$12.8b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

当你考虑到这种缺陷超过了公司128亿美元的巨额市值时,你很可能会倾向于专心审查资产负债表。假设,如果公司被迫通过以当前股价筹集资金来偿还负债,则需要进行极大的稀释。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

Alliant Energy shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.3 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that Alliant Energy's EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Alliant Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

由于息税前利润仅为利息支出的2.3倍,Alliant Energy的股东面临着净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润比率高(5.9)和利息覆盖率相当薄弱的双重打击。这里的债务负担是沉重的。考虑到债务负担,Alliant Energy的息税前利润在过去十二个月中保持相当平稳并不理想。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定Alliant Energy能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Alliant Energy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,我们显然需要研究息税前利润是否会带来相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年中,Alliant Energy消耗了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both Alliant Energy's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. It's also worth noting that Alliant Energy is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, it seems to us that Alliant Energy's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Alliant Energy (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

坦率地说,Alliant Energy的净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润及其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的往绩都使我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。但至少其息税前利润增长率还不错。还值得注意的是,Alliant Energy属于电力公用事业行业,人们通常认为该行业具有很强的防御性。总体而言,在我们看来,Alliant Energy的资产负债表确实对业务构成了相当大的风险。因此,我们对这只鱼的警惕几乎就像一只饥饿的小猫要掉进主人的鱼池一样警惕:正如他们所说,一旦被咬伤,两次害羞。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经向Alliant Energy发现了两个警告信号(至少有一个不容忽视),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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