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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Jiumaojiu International Holdings Limited (HKG:9922)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Jiumaojiu International Holdings Limited (HKG:9922)?

股票下跌和基本面稳健:市场对九毛九国际控股有限公司(HKG: 9922)的看法错误吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/05 18:00

Jiumaojiu International Holdings (HKG:9922) has had a rough three months with its share price down 6.2%. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jiumaojiu International Holdings' ROE today.

九毛九国际控股(HKG: 9922)经历了艰难的三个月,其股价下跌了6.2%。但是,仔细观察其良好的财务状况可能会让你重新考虑。鉴于基本面通常会推动长期市场业绩,因此该公司值得关注。特别是,我们今天将关注九毛九国际控股的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiumaojiu International Holdings is:

因此,根据上述公式,九毛九国际控股的投资回报率为:

14% = CN¥480m ÷ CN¥3.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

14% = 4.8亿元人民币 ÷ 34亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.14 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。这意味着,每获得价值1港元的股东权益,该公司就会产生0.14港元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

Jiumaojiu International Holdings' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

九毛九国际控股的收益增长和14%的投资回报率

At first glance, Jiumaojiu International Holdings seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.1%. Probably as a result of this, Jiumaojiu International Holdings was able to see an impressive net income growth of 23% over the last five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

乍一看,九毛九国际控股的投资回报率似乎不错。此外,该公司的投资回报率与行业平均水平的8.1%相比相当不错。可能是由于这个原因,九毛九国际控股在过去五年中实现了令人印象深刻的23%的净收入增长。我们认为,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,该公司的派息率很低或管理得很高效。

Given that the industry shrunk its earnings at a rate of 10% over the last few years, the net income growth of the company is quite impressive.

鉴于该行业在过去几年中将收益缩减了10%,该公司的净收入增长令人印象深刻。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:9922 Past Earnings Growth April 5th 2024
SEHK: 9922 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 5 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Jiumaojiu International Holdings''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。如果你想知道九毛九国际控股的估值,可以看看这个衡量其与行业相比的市盈率指标。

Is Jiumaojiu International Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

九毛九国际控股是否有效地将其利润再投资?

Jiumaojiu International Holdings' ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 20% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (80%) of its profits. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business as evidenced by the growth seen by the company.

九毛九国际控股的三年派息率中位数处于较低水平,为20%,这意味着它保留了更高的利润百分比(80%)。这表明管理层正在将大部分利润再投资于业务增长,公司的增长就证明了这一点。

Besides, Jiumaojiu International Holdings has been paying dividends over a period of three years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 37% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Jiumaojiu International Holdings is speculated to rise to 20% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

此外,九毛九国际控股在三年内一直在派发股息。这表明该公司致力于与股东分享利润。我们最新的分析师数据显示,该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内上升至37%。无论如何,尽管预计派息率会增加,但九毛九国际控股的未来投资回报率预计将升至20%。可能还有其他因素可能推动投资回报率的未来增长。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that Jiumaojiu International Holdings' performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们认为九毛九国际控股的表现相当不错。具体而言,我们喜欢该公司以高回报率再投资其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致该公司的收益大幅增长。最新的行业分析师预测显示,预计该公司将保持目前的增长率。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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