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Is Diodes (NASDAQ:DIOD) A Risky Investment?

Is Diodes (NASDAQ:DIOD) A Risky Investment?

Diodes(纳斯达克股票代码:DIOD)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/29 08:07

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Diodes Incorporated (NASDAQ:DIOD) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们注意到,Diodes 公司(纳斯达克股票代码:DIOD)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Diodes's Debt?

二极管的债务是什么?

As you can see below, Diodes had US$62.1m of debt at December 2023, down from US$185.4m a year prior. However, it does have US$325.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$263.5m.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,Diodes的债务为6,210万美元,低于去年同期的1.854亿美元。但是,它确实有3.256亿美元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为2.635亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:DIOD Debt to Equity History March 29th 2024
NASDAQGS: 2024 年 3 月 29 日 Diod 债务与股本比率的历史记录

A Look At Diodes' Liabilities

看看二极管的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Diodes had liabilities of US$393.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$164.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$325.6m in cash and US$371.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has US$139.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,Diodes的负债为3.935亿美元,一年后到期的负债为1.645亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有3.256亿美元的现金和3.719亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有1.396亿美元 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

This surplus suggests that Diodes has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Diodes has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种盈余表明 Diodes 的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,Diodes的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Diodes if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 38% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Diodes can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

如果管理层无法阻止去年将息税前利润削减38%的情形重演,那么适度的债务负担对Diodes来说可能变得至关重要。当一家公司看到盈利下降时,它有时会发现与贷款机构的关系恶化。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定Diodes能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Diodes has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Diodes recorded free cash flow worth 55% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。尽管Diodes的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在最近三年中,Diodes记录的自由现金流占其息税前利润的55%,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这几乎是正常的。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Diodes has US$263.5m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Diodes's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Diodes (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,Diodes的净现金为2.635亿美元,资产负债表看起来不错。因此,我们对Diodes的债务使用并不感到困扰。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,你应该了解我们在 Diodes 中发现的 2 个警告信号(包括 1 个不容忽视的警告信号)。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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