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Here's Why Reynolds Consumer Products (NASDAQ:REYN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Reynolds Consumer Products (NASDAQ:REYN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

这就是雷诺兹消费品(纳斯达克股票代码:REYN)可以负责任地管理债务的原因
Simply Wall St ·  03/27 08:52

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (NASDAQ:REYN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到,雷诺兹消费品公司(纳斯达克股票代码:REYN)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会变得有风险。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Reynolds Consumer Products's Net Debt?

雷诺兹消费品的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, Reynolds Consumer Products had US$1.83b of debt at December 2023, down from US$2.09b a year prior. However, it does have US$115.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.72b.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,雷诺兹消费品公司的债务为18.3亿美元,低于去年同期的20.9亿美元。但是,它确实有1.15亿美元的现金抵消了这一点,净负债约为17.2亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:REYN Debt to Equity History March 27th 2024
NASDAQGS: Reyn 债券与股本的比率历史记录 2024 年 3 月 27 日

How Strong Is Reynolds Consumer Products' Balance Sheet?

雷诺兹消费品的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Reynolds Consumer Products had liabilities of US$478.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.32b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$115.0m in cash and US$361.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.32b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,雷诺兹消费品公司在12个月内到期的负债为4.78亿美元,之后到期的负债为23.2亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有1.15亿美元的现金和3.61亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出23.2亿美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Reynolds Consumer Products has a market capitalization of US$5.96b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为雷诺兹消费品公司的市值为59.6亿美元,因此,如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强资产负债表。但很明显,我们一定要仔细研究它能否在不稀释的情况下管理债务。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

Reynolds Consumer Products's debt is 2.7 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.4 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. On the other hand, Reynolds Consumer Products grew its EBIT by 24% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Reynolds Consumer Products can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

雷诺兹消费品公司的债务是其息税折旧摊销前利润的2.7倍,其息税前利润是其利息支出的4.4倍。总而言之,这意味着,尽管我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以承受目前的杠杆率。另一方面,雷诺兹消费品公司的息税前利润在去年增长了24%。如果持续下去,这种增长应该使债务在异常炎热的夏天像稀缺的饮用水一样蒸发。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定雷诺兹消费品公司能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Reynolds Consumer Products recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,值得检查一下息税前利润中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在最近三年中,雷诺兹消费品公司录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的57%,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这几乎是正常的。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Reynolds Consumer Products was the fact that it seems able to grow its EBIT confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit handle its debt, based on its EBITDA,. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Reynolds Consumer Products is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Reynolds Consumer Products has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

就资产负债表而言,雷诺兹消费品的最大积极因素是它似乎能够自信地增长息税前利润。但是我们上面提到的其他因素并不那么令人鼓舞。例如,根据其息税折旧摊销前利润,它似乎不得不努力处理债务。当我们考虑上述所有要素时,在我们看来,雷诺兹消费品公司的债务管理得很好。话虽如此,负担足够沉重,我们建议所有股东密切关注。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如-雷诺兹消费品公司有 2 个警告信号,我们认为您应该注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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