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Is CMOC Group Limited's (HKG:3993) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

Is CMOC Group Limited's (HKG:3993) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

洛阳钼业集团有限公司(HKG: 3993)最近的股票表现是否受到其基本面的影响?
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 21:21

CMOC Group's (HKG:3993) stock is up by a considerable 13% over the past week. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on CMOC Group's ROE.

洛阳钼业集团(HKG: 3993)的股票在过去一周上涨了13%。正如大多数人所知道的那样,基本面通常是指导市场价格长期走势的因素,因此我们今天决定研究公司的关键财务指标,以确定它们在近期的价格走势中是否可以发挥任何作用。在本文中,我们决定重点关注洛阳钼业集团的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

See our latest analysis for CMOC Group

查看我们对CMOC集团的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CMOC Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,洛阳钼业集团的投资回报率为:

4.8% = CN¥3.2b ÷ CN¥67b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.8% = 32亿元人民币 ÷ 670亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。另一种思考方式是,每持有价值1港元的股权,该公司就能获得0.05港元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

CMOC Group's Earnings Growth And 4.8% ROE

洛阳钼业集团的收益增长和4.8%的投资回报率

On the face of it, CMOC Group's ROE is not much to talk about. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 8.9%. CMOC Group was still able to see a decent net income growth of 11% over the past five years. So, the growth in the company's earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

从表面上看,洛阳钼业集团的投资回报率没什么好谈的。然后,我们将该公司的投资回报率与整个行业进行了比较,但对投资回报率低于行业平均水平的8.9%感到失望。在过去五年中,CMOC集团仍然能够实现11%的不错的净收入增长。因此,公司收益的增长可能是由其他变量造成的。例如——高收益留存率或实行高效管理。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that CMOC Group's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 23% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下来,与行业净收入增长相比,我们发现洛阳钼业集团报告的增长低于过去几年23%的行业增长,这不是我们希望看到的。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:3993 Past Earnings Growth January 30th 2024
SEHK: 3993 过去的收益增长 2024 年 1 月 30 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about CMOC Group's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。如果你想知道CMOC集团的估值,可以看看这个衡量其与行业相比的市盈率指标。

Is CMOC Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

洛阳钼业集团是否有效地将其利润再投资?

CMOC Group has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 30% (or a retention ratio of 70%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

CMOC集团的三年派息率中位数为30%(或70%的留存率),以及可观的收益增长,如上所示,CMOC集团的收益增长良好,这意味着该公司一直在有效利用其利润。

Moreover, CMOC Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 35% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that CMOC Group's future ROE will rise to 16% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,洛阳钼业集团决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其支付股息至少十年的长期历史中推断出来的。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司预计将在未来三年内继续支付约35%的利润。尽管如此,预测表明,尽管CMOC集团的派息率预计不会有太大变化,但该公司的未来投资回报率仍将上升至16%。

Summary

摘要

In total, it does look like CMOC Group has some positive aspects to its business. Namely, its respectable earnings growth, which it achieved due to it retaining most of its profits. However, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,洛阳钼业集团的业务确实有一些积极的方面。也就是说,其可观的收益增长是由于保留了大部分利润而实现的。但是,鉴于投资回报率低,投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。话虽如此,从分析师目前的估计来看,我们发现该公司的收益有望增强。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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