share_log

Why Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' (HKG:2682) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' (HKG:2682) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么 Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings (HKG: 2682) 的疲软收益仅仅是问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/19 18:08

Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:2682) weak earnings. Our analysis suggests that they may be missing some concerning details underlying the profit numbers.

股东们似乎对润利海事集团控股有限公司(HKG: 2682)的疲软收益并不太担心。我们的分析表明,他们可能遗漏了一些构成利润数字的相关细节。

See our latest analysis for Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings

查看我们对润利海事集团控股的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2682 Earnings and Revenue History December 19th 2023
SEHK: 2682 2023 年 12 月 19 日的收益和收入记录

A Closer Look At Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' Earnings

仔细看看润利海事集团控股的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用于衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以公司在该时期内的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

Over the twelve months to September 2023, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.30. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$7.4m despite its profit of HK$41.0m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings generated positive FCF of HK$62m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

在截至2023年9月的十二个月中,润利海事集团控股的应计比率为0.30。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这引发了人们对该利润数字到底有多有用的质疑。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,尽管利润为4,100万港元,但流出740万港元,如上所述。值得注意的是,运利海事集团控股公司一年前创造了6200万港元的正FCF,因此至少他们过去曾这样做过。话虽如此,故事还有更多。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。对Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings股东来说,一个积极因素是,去年的应计比率明显改善,这使人们有理由相信其未来可能会恢复更强劲的现金转换。因此,一些股东可能希望在本年度实现更强的现金转换。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对云利海事集团控股公司的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$12m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

考虑到应计比率,在过去十二个月中,价值1200万港元的不寻常项目提振了润利海事集团控股的利润也就不足为奇了。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。我们可以看到,截至2023年9月的一年中,润利海事集团控股的正面不寻常项目相对于其利润相当可观。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润成为衡量潜在盈利能力的不良指导。

Our Take On Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对利润海事集团控股公司盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

总而言之,Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings从不寻常的物品中获得了不错的利润提振,但其纸面利润无法与自由现金流相提并论。考虑到所有这些,我们认为润利海事集团控股公司的利润可能给人一种对其可持续盈利水平的过于慷慨的印象。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现了润利海事集团控股公司的3个警告信号(其中1个很重要!)你应该知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,我们采取了谨慎的态度。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发