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We Think Jiangsu Linyang Energy (SHSE:601222) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Jiangsu Linyang Energy (SHSE:601222) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为江苏林洋能源(SHSE: 601222)可以控制其债务
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/06 18:21

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Jiangsu Linyang Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601222) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他说,“永久亏损的可能性是我担心的风险... 我认识的每位务实投资者都很担心。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到,江苏林洋能源有限公司(SHSE:601222)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多少风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以用新资本或自由现金流还清债务。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代了具有高回报率再投资能力的公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Linyang Energy

查看我们对江苏林阳能源的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Jiangsu Linyang Energy Carry?

江苏林洋能源背负多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Jiangsu Linyang Energy had CN¥3.03b of debt, up from CN¥2.75b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥6.08b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥3.05b.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,江苏林洋能源的债务为30.3亿元人民币,高于去年同期的27.5亿元人民币。点击图片了解更多详情。但是,它确实有60.8亿元人民币的现金抵消了这一点,因此净现金为30.5亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601222 Debt to Equity History December 6th 2023
上海证券交易所:601222 债权与股权历史记录 2023 年 12 月 6 日

How Healthy Is Jiangsu Linyang Energy's Balance Sheet?

江苏林洋能源的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jiangsu Linyang Energy had liabilities of CN¥5.16b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.69b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.08b in cash and CN¥4.62b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.86b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据上次公布的资产负债表,江苏林洋能源的负债为51.6亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为26.9亿元人民币。抵消这一点的是,它有60.8亿元人民币的现金和46.2亿元人民币的应收账款,这些应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有28.6亿元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

It's good to see that Jiangsu Linyang Energy has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Jiangsu Linyang Energy has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

很高兴看到江苏林洋能源的资产负债表上有充足的流动性,这表明对负债的管理比较保守。鉴于它很容易拥有足够的短期流动性,我们认为它不会与贷款人发生任何问题。简而言之,江苏林洋能源的现金多于债务这一事实可以说很好地表明它可以安全地管理债务。

Also good is that Jiangsu Linyang Energy grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jiangsu Linyang Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同样不错的是,江苏林洋能源的息税前利润比去年增长了11%,进一步提高了其管理债务的能力。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定江苏林洋能源能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你专注于未来,你可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Jiangsu Linyang Energy may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Jiangsu Linyang Energy recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

但是我们的最终考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。江苏林洋能源可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理债务的能力。在过去三年中,江苏林洋能源的自由现金流总额为负数。债务通常更昂贵,而且在自由现金流为负的公司手中几乎总是风险更大。股东们应该希望有所改善。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Jiangsu Linyang Energy has CN¥3.05b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it also grew its EBIT by 11% over the last year. So we are not troubled with Jiangsu Linyang Energy's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Jiangsu Linyang Energy , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,江苏林洋能源拥有人民币30.5亿元的净现金和看上去不错的资产负债表。而且它的息税前利润也比去年增长了11%。因此,我们对江苏林洋能源的债务使用并不感到困扰。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外的风险。我们已经发现了江苏林洋能源的1个警告信号,理解这些信号应该成为您投资过程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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