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Shareholders in Guangzhou Automobile Group (HKG:2238) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

Shareholders in Guangzhou Automobile Group (HKG:2238) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

广汽集团(HKG: 2238)的股东如果在五年前投资,就会陷入亏损
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/01 03:49

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:2238), since the last five years saw the share price fall 55%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 25%. Furthermore, it's down 23% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 10% in the same period.

理想情况下,你的整体投资组合应该超过市场平均水平。但在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会喜忧参半。在这一点上,一些股东可能会质疑他们在广汽集团股份有限公司。(HKG:2238),自过去五年股价下跌55%以来。我们还注意到,该股在过去一年表现不佳,股价下跌了25%。此外,它在大约四分之一的时间里下跌了23%。对于持有者来说,这并不是什么乐趣。但这可能与疲软的市场有关,同期市场下跌了10%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考虑到这一点,值得关注的是,该公司的潜在基本面是长期业绩的驱动力,还是存在一些差异。

View our latest analysis for Guangzhou Automobile Group

查看我们对广汽集团的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的企业表现。评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Looking back five years, both Guangzhou Automobile Group's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 18% per year. The share price decline of 15% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.

回顾五年,广汽集团的股价和每股收益都在下降;后者以每年18%的速度下降。股价每年15%的跌幅并不像每股收益下跌那么糟糕。因此,投资者可能会预计每股收益会反弹--或者他们之前可能已经预见到了每股收益的下降。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了EPS是如何随着时间的推移进行跟踪的(如果您点击该图像,您可以看到更多详细信息)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:2238 Earnings Per Share Growth November 1st 2023
联交所:每股盈利增长2238 2023年11月1日

This free interactive report on Guangzhou Automobile Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

免费如果你想进一步调查广汽集团的股票,关于该公司收益、收入和现金流的互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Guangzhou Automobile Group, it has a TSR of -45% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。以广汽集团为例,过去5年的总资产收益率为-45%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 14% in the last year, Guangzhou Automobile Group shareholders lost 21% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guangzhou Automobile Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Guangzhou Automobile Group that you should be aware of.

尽管大盘去年上涨了约14%,但广汽集团的股东损失了21%(甚至包括股息)。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票,在12个月的时间里,有时也会表现逊于市场。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年8%的年化损失更糟糕。我们意识到,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该“在街上血淋淋的时候买入”,但我们警告投资者,首先应该确保他们购买的是一家高质量的企业。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但要更好地理解广汽集团,我们还需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经确定广汽集团的3个警示标志这一点你应该知道。

We will like Guangzhou Automobile Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大的内部收购,我们会更喜欢广汽集团。在我们等待的时候,看看这个免费最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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