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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Materials Company Limited (SZSE:000927)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Materials Company Limited (SZSE:000927)?

股票下跌和财务状况良好:市场对中国铁路物资股份有限公司(深交所股票代码:000927)的看法错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/24 02:42

China Railway Materials (SZSE:000927) has had a rough three months with its share price down 11%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study China Railway Materials' ROE in this article.

中国铁路物资(深交所股票代码:000927)经历了艰难的三个月,其股价下跌了11%。但是,从长远来看,股价通常是由公司的财务状况推动的,在这种情况下,财务状况看起来相当可观。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究中国铁路物资的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

Check out our latest analysis for China Railway Materials

查看我们对中国铁路物资的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Railway Materials is:

因此,根据上述公式,中国铁路物资的投资回报率为:

6.8% = CN¥667m ÷ CN¥9.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

6.8% = 6.67亿元人民币 ^99亿元人民币(基于截至2023年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.07 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。这意味着,公司每获得价值1元人民币的股东权益,就会产生0.07元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

A Side By Side comparison of China Railway Materials' Earnings Growth And 6.8% ROE

中铁物资收益增长和6.8%投资回报率的并排比较

At first glance, China Railway Materials' ROE doesn't look very promising. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 5.2% which we definitely can't overlook. But then again, seeing that China Railway Materials' net income shrunk at a rate of 15% in the past five years, makes us think again. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,中铁物资的投资回报率看起来并不乐观。尽管更仔细的研究表明,该公司的投资回报率高于行业平均水平的5.2%,但我们绝对不能忽视。但话又说回来,看到中铁物资的净收入在过去五年中以15%的速度萎缩,这让我们重新思考。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实略低。只是行业投资回报率较低。因此,这在某种程度上解释了收益萎缩的原因。

However, when we compared China Railway Materials' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 3.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,当我们将中国铁路物资的增长与该行业进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在萎缩,但同期该行业的收益增长了3.8%。这非常令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000927 Past Earnings Growth October 24th 2023
深交所股票代码:000927 2023年10月24日过去的收益增长

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is China Railway Materials fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

赋予公司价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益增长是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明的未来还是黯淡的未来而配置。与其他公司相比,中铁物资的估值是否公平?这三种估值衡量标准可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is China Railway Materials Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

中铁物资能否有效利用其留存收益?

China Railway Materials doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

中国铁路物资不支付任何股息,这意味着其所有利润都可能被再投资于该业务,这并不能解释为什么如果该公司保留所有利润,其收益就会萎缩。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些不利因素。

Summary

摘要

In total, it does look like China Railway Materials has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for China Railway Materials by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,看来中铁物资的业务确实有一些积极的方面。但是,尽管投资回报率适中,再投资率也很高,但我们对收益仍缺乏增长感到失望。我们认为,可能存在一些外部因素可能会对业务产生负面影响。虽然我们不会完全解雇该公司,但我们要做的是努力确定企业的风险有多大,以便围绕公司做出更明智的决定。您可以访问我们的,查看我们为中国铁路物资确定的第一个风险 风险仪表板 在我们的平台上免费使用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

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