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Canggang Railway Limited's (HKG:2169) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Canggang Railway Limited's (HKG:2169) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

沧港铁路有限公司(HKG: 2169)的股票正在上涨但财务状况看起来模棱两可:势头会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/10 19:44

Canggang Railway (HKG:2169) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 118% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Canggang Railway's ROE.

沧港铁路(HKG: 2169)在股市上表现良好,其股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了118%。但是,我们决定关注公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并不能清楚地表明公司的财务状况。在本文中,我们决定重点介绍沧港铁路的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

See our latest analysis for Canggang Railway

查看我们对沧港铁路的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以通过使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Canggang Railway is:

因此,根据上述公式,沧港铁路的投资回报率为:

9.5% = CN¥73m ÷ CN¥774m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

9.5% = 7300万人民币 ^7.74亿元人民币(基于截至2023年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.09.

“回报” 是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。因此,这意味着其股东每投资1港元,公司就会产生0.09港元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Canggang Railway's Earnings Growth And 9.5% ROE

沧港铁路收益增长和9.5%投资回报率的并排比较

On the face of it, Canggang Railway's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.9%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But then again, Canggang Railway's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 2.3%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

从表面上看,沧港铁路的投资回报率没什么好谈的。但是,其投资回报率与7.9%的行业平均水平相似,因此我们不会完全解雇该公司。但话又说回来,沧港铁路的五年净收入以2.3%的速度萎缩。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实略低。因此,这在某种程度上解释了收益萎缩的原因。

From the 2.0% decline reported by the industry in the same period, we infer that Canggang Railway and its industry are both shrinking at a similar rate.

从同期该行业报告的2.0%的跌幅来看,我们推断出沧港铁路及其行业都在以相似的速度萎缩。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:2169 Past Earnings Growth October 10th 2023
香港联交所:2169 过去的收益增长 2023 年 10 月 10 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Canggang Railway fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者应尝试确定收益的预期增长或下降(无论情况如何)是否被计入其中。通过这样做,他们将知道该种群是要进入清澈的蓝色海水,还是沼泽水域在等待。与其他公司相比,沧港铁路的估值是否公平?这三种估值衡量标准可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Canggang Railway Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

沧港铁路是否有效地使用了留存收益?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 45% (or a retention ratio of 55%) which is pretty normal, Canggang Railway's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

从其三年期中位派息率为45%(或55%的留存率)(相当正常)来看,沧港铁路的收益下降相当令人困惑,因为当一家公司保留很大一部分利润时,人们会预计会有相当大的增长。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些不利因素。

Only recently, Canggang Railway stated paying a dividend. This likely means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders have a strong preference for dividends.

就在最近,沧港铁路宣布派发股息。这可能意味着管理层可能已经得出结论,其股东强烈偏爱分红。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Canggang Railway's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Canggang Railway by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们对沧港铁路的表现有些矛盾。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但毕竟投资者可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收益增长表明我们的理论是正确的。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,做到这一点的一种方法是查看业务的风险状况。您可以通过访问我们的,查看我们为沧港铁路确定的两种风险 风险仪表板 在我们的平台上免费使用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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